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Almería vs Ceuta Prediction – Segunda Division

Check out the best predictions for Almería vs Ceuta

Here you will find the best prediction for Almería vs Ceuta in the Second Division, as well as an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Almería and Ceuta.

Almería logo
Almería

  • February 1, 2026 – 13::00
  • Liga Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 24
Ceuta logo
Ceuta


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Almería and Ceuta

The best prediction for the match Almería vs Ceuta in the Second Division is a win for Almería. The home team is playing at their best, where they have secured most of their victories and scored the majority of their goals. On the other hand, Ceuta is in a challenging situation; although their attack has been consistent, they are struggling defensively. We expect an open game dominated by the home side, who should control possession and create the main chances to score. Thus, betting on Almería’s victory in this match seems to be a promising option.

Best prediction for Almería vs Ceuta

Almería to win

Match prediction for Almería vs Ceuta

The teams Almería and Ceuta will play at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos in a match for the 24th round of the Liga Adelante. In their last encounter in this competition on November 26, 2025, Ceuta secured a draw at home by scoring 1-1. Home advantage may play a significant role in this match, as Ceuta shows notable differences in their performance at home versus away.

Analysis of Almería

The home team is currently in 6th place with 36 points, having achieved 10 victories, 6 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Deportivo La Coruña (1-2). In their last match, they lost away to SD Eibar (1-0). This team maintains a good performance when playing away from home, as in their last 30 matches they have recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses on the road; compared to a home record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Almería has won 6, drawn 1, and lost 3, earning 19 points out of a possible 30. The team has allowed goals from their opponents in 8 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack is scoring consistently, having scored in 8 of their last 10 league games. At home, there’s been a trend of high-scoring matches, as 9 of their last 11 games in the competition finished with over 2.5 goals. In 23 matches in this competition, they managed to turn around the score in just 1 of the 9 games in which they conceded the first goal.

The current streak for Almería is poor, putting them at risk of falling out of the playoff zone after their recent loss to Eibar. The team operates in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Léo Baptistão serving as a key positional reference in the attack, responsible for holding the opposing defensive line and creating spaces to exploit around the area. The offensive engine develops just behind, where Sergio Arribas, Jon Morcillo, and Adrián Embarba constantly adjust their heights and areas of play, alternating approaches to maintain possession and deepen their plays. In this context, Arribas frequently appears in defining situations and is at the top of the scoring list. For the next match, the full roster is expected to be available.

Analysis of Ceuta

After 10 victories, 5 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 10th place with 35 points. In their last match, they won against Cultural Leonesa at home, 3-1, after losing 0-3 at home to Real Valladolid in the previous game. This is a team affected by home factor, being stronger with the support of their fans, as in their last 30 matches they recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses on the road, scoring a total of 17 goals and conceding 22. At home, they achieved 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the league, Ceuta garnered 10 points from 30 possible, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they allowed goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistently scoring, with goals in 9 of the last 10 games in the competition. Out of 23 matches in this competition, they have only managed to turn around the score in 2 of the 11 games in which they conceded the first goal.

Ceuta is managing to stay in the top half of the table, which is a significant achievement, and recently returned to winning at home against Cultural Leonesa, scoring 3-1. The team generally operates in a 4-3-3 formation, where Aisar Ahmed, Konrad de la Fuente, and Kuki Zalazar form a dynamic attacking trio with the ability to generate defensive instability. The trio continuously adjusts their positioning, sometimes maintaining width to stretch the opposing block, or attacking depth or exploring interior areas based on the defensive responses. This behavior increases the options for progression in the final third and complicates defensive setups. For the next match, there are no indications of absences in the squad.

Best prediction for Almería vs Ceuta

Almería to win

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