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Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras

Here you will find the best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras in the Brazilian Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent histories and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Atlético-MG and Palmeiras.

Atlético-MG logo
Atlético-MG

  • January 28, 2026 – 22::00
  • Brazilian Serie A

  • 2026
  • Regular season – Round 1
Palmeiras logo
Palmeiras


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras

The best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras in the Brazilian Serie A is over 2.5 goals. The home team is expected to apply pressure from the start, while Palmeiras, often strong in the competition, tends to maintain consistency and balance. The match promises intensity and good offensive rhythm.

Best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (more risky prediction)

Match prediction for Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras

The teams Atlético-MG and Palmeiras compete in a match of the 1st round of the Brazilian Serie A. The recent head-to-head record favors the visiting team, which won 6, drew 5, and lost 1 of the last 12 matches. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on December 4, 2025, ended with Palmeiras winning (3-0). Special attention is needed for the home/away condition, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of Atlético-MG

This is the home team’s first match in this edition of the competition, having finished the previous season in 11th place. This team is stronger when playing at home, recording 1 win, 6 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 games as visitors; compared to 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss at home. In their last match, they defeated Cruzeiro at home (2-1). In the last 10 home games, Atlético-MG has registered 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 games, indicating that there are defensive processes needing improvement. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 7 times and managed to turn the score around only 2 times. In the last 12 home games across all competitions, they scored 7 of their 20 goals between the minutes (61′-75′).

Atlético-MG emerges in the Brazilian Serie A playing at home, in a match that naturally attracts significant attention. The team is expected to adopt an offensive posture, seeking to control the game and press the opponent from the very first minutes. The debut is regarded as an important opportunity to showcase strength and competitiveness, particularly in front of their fans. The challenge will be to maintain intensity without losing defensive balance throughout the 90 minutes.

Analysis of Palmeiras

The visiting team debuts in this edition of the competition after finishing last season in 2nd place. This team is affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as they register 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, with a total of 21 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home, they achieved 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring a total of 34 goals and conceding 7. In their last match, they defeated São Paulo at home (3-1). In the last 10 away matches, Palmeiras won 4 and lost 6. Their attack has been scoring regularly, netting goals in 7 of the last 10 games. In 15 matches, they managed only 1 comeback in the 5 games in which they conceded the first goal.

Palmeiras starts another league edition holding the status of being a team that is consistently strong in the competition. The team has a solid base and typically begins the Brazilian Serie A with a high level of focus. Even playing away, the approach tends to be steady, with good game reading and patience in building plays. The expectation is for a strategic confrontation, decided by details with a high level of competitiveness.

Best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Palmeiras

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (more risky prediction)


 

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