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Ceuta vs Leonesa Prediction – Second Division

Check out the best predictions for Ceuta x Leonesa

Here you can find the best prediction for Ceuta x Leonesa in the Second Division, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Ceuta x Leonesa.

Ceuta logo
Ceuta

  • January 26, 2026 – 19::30
  • League Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 23
Leonesa logo
Leonesa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Ceuta and Leonesa

The best prediction for Ceuta x Leonesa in the League Adelante is that both teams will score. Ceuta is currently performing at its best, having secured most of its victories and scored the majority of its goals at home, despite conceding in more than 60% of its matches. On the other hand, Cultural Leonesa is not in peak condition away, but its attack has shown consistent performance. We expect an open game with a home advantage, yet scoring chances for both sides. Therefore, betting on both teams to find the net seems like a solid option.

Best prediction for Ceuta x Leonesa

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Ceuta x Leonesa

The teams Ceuta and Leonesa will face off at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube in a match of the 23rd round of the League Adelante. In their last encounter in this competition on October 25, 2025, Ceuta won away with a score of (0-1). The record of recent direct confrontations favors the home team, which has won 3 out of the last 5 matches, drawn 1, and lost 1. Attention is required for home/away conditions, as both teams display significantly different results when playing at home and away.

Analysis of Ceuta

After 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, the home team is in 11th place, having earned 32 points. In their last match, they lost at home to Real Valladolid by (0-3), following a previous away loss to Málaga by (2-1). This team has been affected by home factors, performing better in front of its supporters, as they have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in the last 30 away matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding 22 against 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 22 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the championship, Ceuta has earned 22 points out of a possible 30 after 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 10 home games. The most frequent result at half-time in their home matches has been 1-0, which occurred in 4 out of their 11 games. Their defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games, but their offense has been scoring regularly, netting in 9 out of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their home games for this competition, there is a tendency for few goals, as 7 of the last 11 they’ve played had less than 3 goals. Out of 22 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 10 times and only managed 1 comeback in the scoreline. In their last 11 home games in this competition, there is a notable period: they conceded 4 of their 11 goals between the minutes of (46’-60’).

Ceuta is performing above expectations but is experiencing a drop in form, suffering another defeat in the latest round away to Real Valladolid with a 0-3 scoreline. They utilize a forward trio prioritizing mobility and imbalance, formed by Aisar Ahmed, Konrad de la Fuente, and Kuki Zalazar, without rigid positional ties. All three interpret space complementarily, alternating width occupation, deep attacks, and inside infiltrations according to the opponent’s defensive behavior. For the upcoming match, there are no reported absences in the squad.

Analysis of Leonesa

After 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, the away team sits in 17th place with 25 points. In their last match, they lost at home to Sporting Gijón with a score of (2-4), following a previous draw away against FC Andorra (1-1). Interestingly, they have been stronger away than at home; in the last 30 games, they registered 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors; compared to 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses at their own stadium. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Leonesa has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, earning 16 points out of a possible 30. The team has allowed goals from opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition, indicating a lack of strength defensively. In 22 matches in this competition, they managed only 2 comebacks in the 13 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Cultural Leonesa is on a poor streak despite their attack scoring regularly, suffering another home defeat in the last round against Sporting Gijón by 2-4, with goals from Diego Collado and Iván Calero. The team organizes in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Diego Collado occupying the furthest forward position to direct positional attacks. Their offensive buildup gains momentum with Luis Chacón, Rubén Sobrino, and Lucas Ribeiro, who continuously adjust their heights and acting zones in connection with the central midfielder, alternating between interior support and deep attacks. It appears that the entire squad will be available for the next round.

Best prediction for Ceuta x Leonesa

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Will both teams score? Yes

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