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Benfica vs Estrela Amadora Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Benfica vs Estrela Amadora

Here you will find the best prediction for Benfica vs Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Benfica and Estrela Amadora.

Benfica logo
Benfica

  • January 25, 2026 – 18::00
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Estrela Amadora logo
Estrela Amadora


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Benfica vs Estrela Amadora

The best prediction for
Palpite Benfica vs Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga is Benfica to win at halftime and full-time. The odds clearly favor Benfica, which is perfectly reasonable. José Mourinho is a very experienced coach and will be able to motivate his players during such a crucial stage, where despite showing good performances, the results have not been forthcoming. All that remains for them is to execute an excellent second half of the season and aim to win every match, with the calculations to be made afterward. After the “final in Vila do Conde,” there is another final to win, this time against Estrela. Achieving a convincing victory will be the goal, and for that, it is crucial for the Benfica team to head into the locker rooms with a lead. Benfica HT/FT is the prediction for this match.

Best prediction for Benfica vs Estrela Amadora

Benfica HT/FT

Match prediction for Benfica vs Estrela Amadora

The teams Benfica and Estrela Amadora will face off at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in a match for the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. Benfica won the last encounter in this league edition by a score of (0‑1) on August 16, 2025. Historically, at this stadium, the home team has a favorable head-to-head record, having won the last three matchups. The last time they met here was on November 23, 2024, in a Taça de Portugal match that ended with a dominant (7‑0) victory for Benfica. The goals were scored by Arthur Cabral (86′ and 90′), Z. Amdouni (81′), Ángel Di María (5′, 2′, and 18′), and K. Aktürkoğlu (59′) for Benfica. In this match, the home advantage could play an important role, as Benfica has shown significant differences in their results at home versus away.

Benfica Analysis

Following 12 wins and 6 draws, the home team currently sits in 3rd place with 42 points. In their last match, they won against Rio Ave away with a score of (0‑2), after having previously secured a home victory against Estoril by (3‑1). Interestingly, this team has been stronger while playing away, as they have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at home. However, in their last match in the UEFA Champions League, they lost to Juventus away, (2‑0).

Benfica is currently on an 18-match unbeaten streak in this competition. Their attack has been consistently scoring, having netted at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend for goals in their home games, as 8 of the last 9 matches played in this competition have ended with more than 1.5 goals. The team generally finds it easy to open the scoring: they have scored first in 14 of their last 18 matches in the Primeira Liga and were ahead at halftime in 9 of those 14, maintaining their advantage until the end of the 90 minutes in 10 matches.

Benifica is currently in a challenging phase where, despite performing at a higher level and finally showcasing the expected quality, they still suffer from past mistakes, as seen in their last match in the Champions League. Losing in Turin to Juventus isn’t “unusual,” but this defeat leaves them with slim chances of qualification. Additionally, their match against FC Porto was in the Taça de Portugal, and a loss there cost them elimination. In these two matches, we saw a significantly improved Benfica compared to their recent past. They experienced a triumph against Rio Ave, where under José Mourinho’s management, the team delivered arguably the best first half of the season and practically decided the game in that period. It certainly left their fans excited, but it remains to be seen if the loss in Turin has dampened the spirits of both the supporters and the team.
 

Estrela Amadora Analysis

The away team is currently in 12th place with 19 points, having secured 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew at home against Sporting Braga with a score of (3‑3). In their last match, they suffered a heavy home defeat against Estoril, losing (0‑5). This team seems to be relatively unaffected by home advantage, as they have similar results at home and away. Over their last 30 matches, they have registered 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, conceding a total of 28 goals while scoring only 13. At home, they achieved 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 16 goals and allowing 23. Their last away match in this competition ended with a victory of (2‑3) against Famalicão. In their latest 8 matches away in the league, they recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, picking up 9 points out of a possible 24. The team has allowed goals from opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, yet their attack has been scoring regularly, as they managed to net goals in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. This is a team that rarely takes the lead first, having opened the scoring in only 3 of the last 18 matches in the Primeira Liga, from which they led at halftime in all three and managed to win 2 of those matches. Out of the 18 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 12 times and managed to come back in just 2 of those instances.

The Estrela team arrives at this match following a heavy (0-5) loss at the hands of Estoril. This result and performance were entirely unexpected, particularly since the tricolor team had been on a three-match unbeaten streak. With 19 points, the team under Luís Silva has a 4-point cushion over Casa Pia, ensuring they will not fall into the relegation zone regardless of the outcome of this match. Estrela has yet to taste victory in their 12 visits to the Estádio da Luz.

Best prediction for Benfica vs Estrela Amadora

Benfica HT/FT

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