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Zaragoza vs Castellón Prediction – Second Division

Check out the best predictions for Zaragoza vs Castellón

Here you will find the best prediction for Zaragoza vs Castellón in the Second Division, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent performance and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Zaragoza and Castellón.

Zaragoza logo
Zaragoza

  • January 25, 2026 – 17::30
  • Liga Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 23
Castellón logo
Castellón


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Zaragoza vs Castellón

The best prediction for
Zaragoza vs Castellón in the Second Division is a win for Castellón. The Real Zaragoza is currently in poor form, having scored only nine goals. Castellón, despite also being in difficult conditions, has been scoring consistently and is motivated to secure three points. We expect an open game, with the visitors dominating possession and creating the main scoring opportunities. Therefore, betting on a Castellón win after ninety minutes seems like a solid choice.

Best prediction for Zaragoza vs Castellón

Castellón to win

Match prediction for Zaragoza vs Castellón

The teams Zaragoza and Castellón are playing at the Estadio de la Romareda, in a match for the 23rd round of the Liga Adelante. The last time they faced each other in this league edition, the two teams drew (1-1) on August 30, 2025. Recent head-to-head records favor the visiting team, which has won 2 and drawn 1 of the last 3 matches. Special attention is needed regarding home/away performance, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Zaragoza Analysis

The home team is currently in 21st place, with 21 points earned from 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses. In their second-to-last match, they won away against Racing Santander (2-3). In their last match, they drew at home against Real Sociedad II (1-1). Interestingly, this is a team that has been stronger away than at home, as they have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, compared to 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in their own stadium. In their last 10 home league games, Zaragoza has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, accumulating 9 points from a possible 30. The most frequent halftime score in their home league games has been 0-0 (6 out of 11 matches). The defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, though their attack has scored steadily, netting at least once in each of the last 10 matches in this competition. This team rarely takes the lead first, managing to open the scoring in only 5 of their last 22 Liga Adelante matches; of those, they held a halftime advantage in 3 and won 3 by the end of 90 minutes. In the 22 matches in this competition, they have only managed to come back from losing positions in 2 of the 16 matches where they conceded first. In their last 11 home matches in this competition, there are 2 noteworthy periods: they scored 4 of their 9 goals between minutes 76-90; and conceded 8 of their 19 goals between minutes 61-75.

The Real Zaragoza has demonstrated good offensive performance, registering a home draw with Real Sociedad B last round at 1-1, with their goal scored by Paul Akouokou. The team organizes in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Kenan Kodro taking the most advanced position. However, the offensive mechanism gains fluidity from the trio behind him: Francho Serrano, Marcos Cuenca, and Toni Moya constantly adjust their heights, alternating between dropping back to participate in build-up play and making coordinated attacks into space between midfield and defense. This continuous movement causes shifts in the opponent’s marking, facilitates quick switches of play, and generates positional advantages in strategic areas of the field, allowing the team to progress in a cleaner, cohesive, and harder-to-neutralize manner. Right-back Martín Aguirregabiria is injured and will miss the next match.

Castellón Analysis

After 11 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, the visiting team is in 2nd place with 38 points. In their last match, they won against Leganés at home (2-0), after having drawn away against Granada (0-0) in the previous match. This team is stronger when playing at home, as they have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, compared to 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home. In their last 10 away league matches, Castellón has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, acquiring 15 points out of 30 possible. In their away league games, the most frequent halftime score has been 0-0 (5 out of 11 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, having netted in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games, there is a trend toward low scoring, as 5 of their last 11 matches in the competition ended with less than 1.5 goals. In 22 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only managed to come back to win in 2 matches.

Castellón is having a great season, exceeding expectations, contesting for direct promotion, and securing a home victory against Leganés last round with a score of 2-0, thanks to goals from Awer Mabil and Israel Suero. The team structures itself in a 4-4-2 formation, utilizing Ousmane Camara and Álex Calatrava as references in the last line. The support of the attack goes through the midfield formed by Awer Mabil, Diego Barri, Gerenabarrena, Pablo Santiago, and Brian Cipenga, who play with high intensity, adjusting heights and coordinating movements to accelerate circulation, attack free spaces in the second wave, and sustain continuous incursions into the final third. This collective behavior keeps the team compact and ensures offensive volume. Defender Alberto Jiménez will miss the next match due to suspension.

Best prediction for Zaragoza vs Castellón

Castellón to win

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