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São Bernardo vs Mirassol Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for São Bernardo vs Mirassol

Here you will find the best prediction for São Bernardo vs Mirassol in the Paulista Championship, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, including recent form and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between São Bernardo and Mirassol.

São Bernardo logo
São Bernardo

  • January 24, 2026 – 18::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 5
Mirassol logo
Mirassol


Betting tip and prediction for this match between São Bernardo vs Mirassol

The best prediction for São Bernardo vs Mirassol in the Paulista Championship is under 2.5 goals. The clash between these two teams promises balance and tension from start to finish. The home team is under pressure for results in front of their fans, while Mirassol hasn’t found their rhythm as visitors. The expectation is for a more constrained game, with caution from both sides and few defensive concessions. Given this scenario of heightened attention and fear of making mistakes, the match points towards a tight scoreline.

Best prediction for São Bernardo vs Mirassol

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for São Bernardo vs Mirassol

The teams São Bernardo and Mirassol will compete at the Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco Stadium in a match for the Paulista A1 (Paulista Series A1). Recent head-to-head records favor the visiting team, with Mirassol winning 2, drawing 2, and losing 1 of their last 5 encounters. The last match between these two teams, on January 23, 2025, ended in a 1-2 draw. In this matchup, the home advantage could play a decisive role, as Mirassol has shown differences in performance when playing at home versus away.

São Bernardo Analysis

After 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, the home team currently sits in 5th place with 4 points earned. In their last match, they won 0-1 away against Ponte Preta, having previously drawn 1-1 at home against Noroeste. This team is not heavily influenced by home advantage, showing similar results both at home and away, as in their last 30 matches they have recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded, compared to 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses at home, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded. São Bernardo has won 4, drawn 4, and lost 2 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 3 of their last 4 games in this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never managed to come back to win.

São Bernardo knows they need to turn their stadium into a true advantage in the Paulistão. So far, they have only won their opening match at home and have let crucial points slip in front of their fans. This inconsistency is concerning, but it also serves as a warning to correct mistakes and improve their competitive stance. In this round, the priority is to convert pressure into action, avoiding further slip-ups. On the other side will be a dangerous Mirassol team, accustomed to complicating any matchup. For the ABC Tiger, it will be a night of maximum concentration and response on the field.

Mirassol Analysis

After 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, the visiting team currently sits in 11th place, having earned 3 points. In their last match, they drew 0-0 at home against Bragantino, following a loss of 0-1 away against Palmeiras. This team is stronger when playing at home, as in the last 30 matches they have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, compared to 9 wins and 6 draws at their home ground. In their last 10 matches played away across all competitions, Mirassol has won 2, drawn 2, and lost 6. In 15 matches, they have never managed to turn around a game after conceding the first goal in 5 occasions.

Mirassol faces a challenge that goes beyond just the opponent in this round of the Paulistão. So far, their numbers as visitors are concerning and contrast sharply with last season, when the team was tough to beat away from home. Away from their stadium, they have yet to find their rhythm, and two losses already weigh heavily on their records. This inconsistency demands urgent adjustments, especially in attitude and game reading. Now, against São Bernardo, they know they need to change their approach. Breaking the away streak has become a necessity, not an option.

Best prediction for São Bernardo vs Mirassol

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

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