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Marseille vs Lens Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Marseille vs Lens

Here you will find the best prediction for Marseille vs Lens in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Marseille vs Lens.

Marseille logo
Marseille

  • January 24, 2026 – 20::05
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Lens logo
Lens


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Marseille vs Lens

The best prediction for
Marseille vs Lens in Ligue 1 is that both teams will score. Despite Marseille’s theoretical superiority, boasting a squad with more attacking options, a dynamic encounter is expected with threats coming from both sides. Given these factors, betting on the market “Both teams to score – Yes” for this match is a solid option.

Best prediction for Marseille vs Lens

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Marseille vs Lens

The teams Marseille and Lens play at Stade Vélodrome in a match of the 19th round of Ligue 1. In the last encounter between these teams in the competition on October 25, 2025, Lens won 2-1 at home. The recent head-to-head record favors the visiting team, which has 5 wins and 2 losses in the last 7 matches.

Marseille Analysis

The home team is currently in 3rd place, with 35 points from 11 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Nantes (0-2). In their last match, they won against Angers SCO (2-5). The last game they played in the UEFA Champions League ended in a 0-3 defeat to Liverpool. In their last 9 home matches in the league, Marseille has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, earning 20 points from a possible 27. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring regularly, finding the net in 8 of their last 10 games in this competition. At home, they have a tendency for goals, with 6 of their last 9 matches ending over 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they managed to overturn the score in just 2 of the 8 matches where they conceded the first goal. In their last 16 home games across all competitions, there is one notable period: they conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes 76 and 90.

Marseille heads into this match after a 0-3 defeat against Liverpool in a UEFA Champions League clash. In their latest Ligue 1 match, they triumphed over Angers with a score of 2-5. The home team traditionally employs a tactical system of 3-4-3, favoring a well-structured style of play, but also effective on counterattacks. In this setup, the three most advanced players are Igor Paixão, Mason Greenwood, and Amine Gouiri. The playmaker for Marseille is midfielder Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, adept at vision and precision passing. Injuries will keep Nayef Aguerd and Emerson Palmieri out of this match.

Confirmed lineup: Gerónimo Rulli, Benjamin Pavard, Leonardo Balerdi, Facundo Medina, Amir Murillo, Matt O’Riley, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Timothy Weah, Igor Paixão, Amine Gouiri, Mason Greenwood.
Coach: André Villas-Boas.

Lens Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 1st place, with 43 points from 14 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. In their penultimate match, they won away against Toulouse (0-3). In their last match, they secured a home victory over Auxerre (1-0). Their most recent away game was in the Coupe de France, where they won (0-3) against Sochaux. In their last 9 away matches in the league, Lens has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, earning 19 points out of a possible 27.

For this competition, they have a streak of 4 away victories. In their away league games, the most frequent final result has been 1-2 (4 out of 9 matches). Their attack has been consistently scoring, netting goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. Away from home in this competition, there is a trend of goals with 6 out of 9 matches ending with more than 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they have managed to come back from trailing in 2 of the 5 games where they conceded the first goal.

Lens enters this match following a 1-0 win against Auxerre, marking their eighth consecutive victory in Ligue 1. The only goal of the team was scored by Wesley Saïd. Coach Pierre Sage prefers a tactical setup of 3-4-3, with Rayan Fofana, Florian Thauvin, and Wesley Saïd leading the attack. The team is known for posing a threat down the right flank, capitalizing on the overlapping runs of full-back Ruben Aguilar. Injuries will rule out Jhoanner Chávez, Régis Gurtner, Jonathan Gradit, and Amadou Haidara for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Robin Risser, Ruben Aguilar, Matthieu Udol, Ismaëlo Ganiou, Saud Abdulhamid, Malang Sarr, Adrien Thomasson, Mamadou Sangaré, Florian Thauvin, Wesley Saïd, Odsonne Édouard.
Coach: P. Sage.

Best prediction for Marseille vs Lens

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

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