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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Villarreal vs Real Madrid

Here you can find the best prediction for Villarreal vs Real Madrid in La Liga, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Villarreal vs Real Madrid.

Villarreal logo
Villarreal

  • January 24, 2026 – 20::00
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Real Madrid logo
Real Madrid


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Villarreal vs Real Madrid

The best prediction for Villarreal vs Real Madrid in La Liga is over 2.5 goals. It is expected that Real Madrid will dominate the match, yet both teams tend to engage in open encounters, creating numerous scoring opportunities. Notably, the “Over 2.5 Goals” market has been successful in 70% of Real Madrid’s away games.

Best prediction for Villarreal vs Real Madrid

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
More than 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Villarreal vs Real Madrid

The teams Villarreal and Real Madrid will face each other at Estadio de la Cerámica in a match for the 21st round of La Liga. In their last confrontation in this competition on October 4, 2025, Real Madrid won at home by (3-1). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the visiting team, which has won 2, drawn 2, and lost 1 of the last 5 matches played here. In fact, in their last encounter at this stadium in La Liga on March 15, 2025, Real Madrid managed to win by (1-2). The goals of that match were scored by Juan Foyth (7′) for Villarreal and Kylian Mbappé (23′ and 17′) for Real Madrid. The home advantage may play a decisive role in this match, given Real Madrid’s varying performances at home and away.

Analysis of Villarreal

The home team is currently in 4th place, having accumulated 41 points from 13 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In their penultimate match, they won at home against Deportivo Alavés by (3-1). In their last match, they lost away to Real Betis by (2-0). This is a team that maintains its performance when playing away from home, as their last 30 matches show 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, compared to 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses at their own stadium. In their last match in the UEFA Champions League, they lost to Ajax at home by (1-2). In the last 10 home matches in the league, Villarreal has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, having gained 25 points out of a possible 30. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of their last 10 league matches. There tends to be goals in their home games, as 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition ended with over 1.5 goals. In 19 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 5 times and managed to come back only once.

Villarreal enters this match after a defeat, by 1-2, at home against Ajax, in a game valid for the UEFA Champions League. In their last match in La Liga, the hosts lost to Real Betis by 2-0. Under the management of Marcelino Toral, the home team generally plays in a 4-4-2 system, favoring quick transitions, especially down the flanks. Up front, the duo of Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze is responsible for causing panic in opposing defenses. Santi Comesaña and Santiago Mouriño are unavailable due to suspension, as well as Willy Kambwala and Logan Costa, who have physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Luiz Júnior, Pau Navarro, Alfonso Pedraza, Renato Veiga, Juan Foyth, Dani Parejo, Thomas Partey, Tajon Buchanan, Alberto Moleiro, Georges Mikautadze, Gerard Moreno.
Manager: E. Setién Solar.

Analysis of Real Madrid

The visiting team is currently in 2nd place, having accumulated 48 points from 15 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. In their penultimate match, they won at home against Real Betis by (5-1). In their last match, they won at home against Levante by (2-0). This is a team that is significantly boosted by home advantage, as they have registered 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring a total of 33 goals and conceding 23. At home, they secured 13 wins and 2 losses, scoring 36 goals and conceding 12. In their last game in the UEFA Champions League, they beat Monaco at home by (6-1). Their most recent away game was in the Copa del Rey, which ended in a defeat against Albacete by (3-2). In the last 10 away matches in the league, Real Madrid has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, gaining 21 points out of a possible 30.

In this competition, they haven’t lost as visitors for 6 matches. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. There tends to be goals in their away games as well, as 7 out of 10 finished with over 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in this competition, they have only managed one comeback in the 5 games where they conceded the first goal. In their last 10 away matches for this competition, 4 of their 11 goals conceded occurred between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Real Madrid approaches this encounter motivated by a significant victory of 6-1 against Monaco, in a UEFA Champions League match. In their last league match, the visitors defeated Levante by 2-0. The merengue team usually plays in a 4-3-3 formation, with Rodrygo, Kylian Mbappé, and Vinícius Júnior leading the attack. In midfield, Jude Bellingham takes on a crucial role in orchestrating plays and setting the tempo for the team’s offensive efforts. Aurélien Tchouaméni is unavailable due to suspension, along with David Alaba, Ferland Mendy, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Éder Militão, all of whom are injured.

Confirmed lineup: Thibaut Courtois, Álvaro Carreras, Raúl Asencio, Dean Huijsen, Jude Bellingham, Dani Ceballos, Eduardo Camavinga, Federico Valverde, Vinicius Junior, Gonzalo García, Kylian Mbappé.
Manager: Á. Arbeloa Coca.

Best prediction for Villarreal vs Real Madrid

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
More than 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

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