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Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Here you will find the best prediction for Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao in La Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao.

Sevilla logo
Sevilla

  • January 24, 2026 – 17::30
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Athletic Bilbao logo
Athletic Bilbao


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

The best prediction for
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga is over 2.5 goals. The two teams have shown considerable instability in their matches, tending to attack more vigorously while struggling defensively. Moreover, we observe that the average goals scored in their games is notably high, with the market for “Over 2 goals” having paid out in 70% of Sevilla’s home matches. Therefore, an exciting encounter is expected, with both teams capable of creating several scoring opportunities.

Best prediction for Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

The teams Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao will compete at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in a match for the 21st round of La Liga. It was Athletic Bilbao who won at home by (3–2) the last time they faced off in this league edition, on August 17, 2025. The head-to-head history at this stadium favors the visiting team, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. In their most recent meeting at this venue during a La Liga game, on March 16, 2025, Athletic Bilbao won (0–1), with Yeray Álvarez scoring the only goal of the match. Special attention is required for home/away performance, as both teams have exhibited significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of Sevilla

The home team is currently in 14th place, with 21 points earned from 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Celta de Vigo (0–1). In the last match, they drew away against Elche (2–2). Interestingly, this team has shown better results away than at home, recording 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 20 goals and conceding 21, compared to 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses at home, scoring 20 goals and conceding 23. In the league, Sevilla has accumulated 10 points out of a possible 30, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their last 10 home games. The team has allowed their opponents to score in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition, indicating defensive weaknesses. There tends to be a trend of goals in their home games, as 7 of their last 10 matches in the league finished with more than 2.5 goals. In 20 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and have never managed to turn the score around.

Sevilla enters this match after a draw of 2–2 in their trip to Elche, marking the fourth consecutive match without a win in La Liga, with both goals scored by Akor Adams. The team, under Matías Almeyda, typically plays in a tactical system of 3-4-3, prioritizing slower, well-conducted transitions primarily through the central corridor. In this setup, the three players responsible for putting pressure on the opponent’s defense are Akor Adams, Peque Fernández, and Oso. During attacks, the team favors the right flank, leveraging the depth provided by fullback Juanlu Sánchez. Missing from this game will be Batista Mendy due to suspension, along with injured players Adnan Januzaj and César Azpilicueta.

Analysis of Athletic Bilbao

The visiting team is currently in 10th place, with 24 points earned from 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew away against Osasuna (1–1). In the last match, they lost away to Mallorca (3–2). This team is affected by home advantage, performing stronger with the support of their fans, as in their last 30 games, they recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, with a total of 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home, they achieved 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last UEFA Champions League match, they won against Atalanta away by (3–2). In the last 10 away games in the league, Athletic Bilbao has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, earning 8 points from a possible 30. In their league away games, the most frequent result at halftime was 0–0 (5 out of 10 games). The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 7 out of their last 10 matches, showing a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, managing to find the net in 7 of their last 10 league matches. In 20 games in this competition, they have never managed to come back in the 11 games in which they conceded the first goal.

Athletic Bilbao arrives at this match after a win, 3–2, in their trip to Atalanta’s stadium for a UEFA Champions League game. In their last match in La Liga, they lost against Mallorca by 3–2. The Basque team usually plays in a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on quick transitions and attacking through the flanks, especially the right side where Jesús Areso tends to cause problems with his depth and pace. Up front, the trio of Álex Berenguer, Nico Williams, and Robert Navarro promises speed, unpredictability, and, above all, goals. Missing from this match are Gorka Guruzeta and Íñigo Lekue, both due to suspension, as well as Beñat Prados and Maroan Sannadi, who are dealing with physical issues.

Best prediction for Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

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