Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction – La Liga

January 22, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Here you will find the best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna in La Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent history and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna.

Rayo Vallecano

January 24, 2026 – 13::00
La Liga
2025/2026
Regular Season – Round 21

Osasuna

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

The best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna in La Liga is that there will be several goals. While a balanced match is anticipated, both Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna tend to play offensive football, often neglecting their defense. Thus, an intense match is expected with a high tempo and many chances at both ends.

Best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)

Match prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

The teams Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna will face off at the Estadio de Vallecas in a match from the 21st round of La Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on September 14, 2025, Osasuna won at home (2-0). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, having won 3 out of the last 4 meetings. In fact, in the last match at this stadium for La Liga on September 16, 2024, Rayo Vallecano won (3-1). The goals of that match were scored by Andrei Rațiu (66′), Unai López (90′), and Abdul Mumin (50′) for Rayo Vallecano and Raúl García de Haro (27′) for Osasuna. Special attention should be given to home/away performance, as both teams show significantly different results at home and away games.

Rayo Vallecano Analysis

The home team is currently in 13th place, having earned 22 points from 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a home win against Mallorca (2-1). However, in their last outing, they lost away to Celta de Vigo (3-0). This team is influenced by home advantage, performing better in front of their fans, as evidenced by their last 30 games where they have 5 victories, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 21 goals and conceding 25, compared to 6 wins, 8 draws, and 1 loss at home, with 21 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the league, Rayo Vallecano accumulated 12 points from 27 possible after 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss in their last 9 home matches.

In this competition, they have not lost at home for 6 matches. Frequent results at home include ending the first 45 minutes at 0-0 (5 out of 9 matches) and ending the match at 1-1 (4 out of 9 matches). The team has allowed goals to opponents in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, and their attack needs improvement as they have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. In home matches, there is a trend of few goals as 8 of their last 9 matches in the competition ended with less than 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in the competition, they have never managed to overturn a score after conceding the first goal in the 10 games where this occurred.

Rayo Vallecano enters this match after a 3-0 defeat against Celta de Vigo, putting an end to their two-match unbeaten run in La Liga. The home team tends to adopt a 4-3-3 tactical system, focusing on a style of constant transitions. In this setup, the trio responsible for causing panic in the opponent’s defense includes Carlos Martín, Álvaro García, and Jorge de Frutos. It is important to note that the player tasked with directing the offensive play for the team is midfielder Isi Palazón. Out due to suspension is Nobel Mendy.

Confirmed lineup: Augusto Batalla, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Alfonso Espino, Florian Lejeune, Pep Chavarría, Pedro Díaz, Gerard Gumbau, Jorge de Frutos, Álvaro García, Isi Palazón, Carlos Martín.
Coach: F. Rodríguez Vílchez.

Osasuna Analysis

After 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, the away team is in 12th position, having accumulated 22 points. In their last match, they won against Real Oviedo at home (3-2), following a previous away loss to Girona (1-0). This team, similar to their opponent, shows a stronger performance when playing at home, recording 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 away games, scoring 17 goals and conceding 20. At home, they celebrated 10 victories, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 26 goals and conceding 14. In the league, Osasuna has managed only 2 points from 30 available, with 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 10 away matches.

In this competition, they have not won away for 10 matches. Common results in their away games include finishing at half-time 0-0 (7 out of 10 matches) and ending the game 1-0 (5 out of 10 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, suffering goals in 7 of their last 10 fixtures in this competition. There is a tendency for low scoring in their away matches, as 8 of their last 10 have seen fewer than 3 goals. In 20 matches in this competition, they only managed 2 comebacks in the 11 matches where they conceded the first goal. There is a notable trend in their last 10 away matches: they conceded 5 of their 13 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.

Osasuna arrives at this matchup following a 3-2 victory against Real Oviedo, ending a two-match winless streak in La Liga. The away team typically plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring quick transitions, especially through the wings. In this formation, the three advanced players are Ante Budimir, Rubén García, and Victor Muñoz. When attacking, they usually exploit the left flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by Javi Galán. Out for this match is Alejandro Catena due to suspension.

Confirmed lineup: Sergio Herrera, Valentin Rosier, Javi Galán, Enzo Boyomo, Jorge Herrando, Moi Gómez, Aimar Oroz, Lucas Torró, Rubén García, Víctor Muñoz, Ante Budimir.
Coach: J. Arrasate.