➡ What is the recommended bet for Málaga vs Burgos?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Málaga vs Burgos on January 23, 2026, in the analysis written by the tipsters of the site, is: Over 2.0 Asian goals → bet available at Bet365.

➡ Which stadium will host the Málaga vs Burgos match?

The Málaga vs Burgos match on January 23, 2026, will be held in Málaga, at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Football preview

Málaga vs Burgos Prediction – Second Division

January 22, 2026[email protected]

Check the best predictions for Málaga vs Burgos

Here you will find the best prediction for Málaga vs Burgos in the Second Division, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Málaga and Burgos.

Málaga

January 23, 2026 – 19::30
Liga Adelante
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 23

Burgos

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Málaga vs Burgos

The best prediction for Málaga vs Burgos in the Second Division is that both teams will score. Málaga is performing at its best, having won more matches and scored more goals, but has also conceded in over 80% of their games and holds a disadvantage in their head-to-head record. Burgos, on the other hand, is in a weaker form but still manages to find the back of the net. We anticipate an open game with a slight advantage for the home side, yet both teams will have chances to score. Therefore, betting on the market “Handicap, Over 2 Goals” seems to be a good alternative for this match.

Best prediction for Málaga vs Burgos

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Málaga vs Burgos

The teams Málaga and Burgos are facing off at Estadio La Rosaleda in a match of the 23rd round of Liga Adelante. In their last encounter in this competition on September 28, 2025, Burgos triumphed at home with a score of (2-1). At this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the visiting team, which has 1 win and 2 draws in their last 3 matches. However, the last time they met at this venue was on May 31, 2025, in a Liga Adelante game that ended in a (2-2) draw. The goals in that match were scored by Julen Lobete (84′) and Rafa Rodriguez (82′) for Málaga, while Fernando Niño (65′) and Eduardo Espiau (9′) found the net for Burgos. Home advantage may play a crucial role in this game, as Málaga shows significant discrepancies in their home and away results.

Málaga Analysis

After 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, the home team is in 6th place with 35 points. In their last match, they won against Córdoba away by (0-1), after previously winning at home against Ceuta by (2-1). This team performs better at home, as in their last 30 matches they record 5 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses as visitors, compared to 9 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss at home. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Málaga has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, accumulating 21 points from a possible 30.

In this competition, they have won their last 5 matches and have not lost any of their last 7 games played at home. Their defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistently scoring, having found the back of the net in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 22 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and only managed to come back to win on 2 occasions.

Málaga is having a season well above expectations, returning to victory in the last round against Córdoba away by 0-1 with a goal from David Larrubia. The team is structured in a 4-4-2 formation, which places Chupe and Adrián Niño in the forward line, with Chupe taking the lead in scoring. With a well-defined midfield, Dani Lorenzo, Carlos Dotor, Izan Merino, and David Larrubia balance the system by alternating moments of compactness with coordinated advances, promoting quick transitions, intelligent occupation of spaces, and good reading to attack the opposite side of the play, allowing the team to progress in an organized manner, varying their attacking corridors and maintaining offensive presence. Midfielder Luismi Sánchez, midfielder Darko Brasanac, and defender Moussa Diarra are currently injured and are unlikely to be available for the next round.

Burgos Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 7th place, with 35 points from 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they won at home against SD Eibar by (1-0). In their last game, they won at home against Huesca by (1-0). This team is somewhat unaffected by home-field advantage, producing similar results at home and away, as shown in their last 30 matches with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 18 goals and conceding 18. At home, they secured 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a total of 17 goals scored and 14 allowed. In the league, Burgos has gained 16 points from 30 possible, after 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 10 away games. Their most frequent halftime result in league matches has been 1-0 (4 out of 10 matches). In 22 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and managed to come back to win only on 3 occasions.

Burgos is having a good season, adding another victory in the last round at home against Huesca by 1-0, with a goal scored by Fer Niño. The team has structured its play in a 4-4-2 formation which positions Fer Niño and Curro as the more advanced references, alternating roles inside the box and taking on the role of primary targets for offensive plays. In a more defensive role, David González, Iván Morante, Miguel Atienza, and Iñigo Córdoba maintain a dynamic and well-coordinated midfield, capable of quickly closing down when they don’t have the ball, while also advancing as a unit when they find space, exploiting switches of play, interior support, and late arrivals to create fluid circulation. Forward Fer Niño is suspended and is the only confirmed absentee for the upcoming match.