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Cali vs Medellín Prediction – First Division

Check out the best predictions for Cali vs Medellín

Here you will find the best prediction for Cali vs Medellín in the Primera División, as well as an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their latest games to provide the best prediction for this match between Cali and Medellín.

Cali logo
Cali

  • January 24, 2026 – 23::20
  • Primera División

  • 2026
  • Apertura – Round 2
Medellín logo
Medellín


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Cali vs Medellín

The best prediction for Cali vs Medellín in the Primera División is less than 2.5 goals. Both teams are under pressure after negative starts and are likely to focus on defensive adjustments and offensive efficiency to secure three points, suggesting a game with few chances converted into goals.

Best prediction for Cali vs Medellín

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Cali vs Medellín

The teams Cali and Medellín will face off at the Estadio Deportivo Cali for a match in the 2nd round of the Primera División. The head-to-head record at this stadium shows balance between the two teams, with 4 draws and 1 win each in their last 6 matches. However, in the last encounter at this stadium in a Primera División match on August 31, 2025, Independiente Medellín won 3-1. The goals in that match were scored by Avilés Hurtado (83′) for Cali and by Francisco Fydriszewski (52′), Baldomero Perlaza (48′), and Luis Sandoval (90′) for Medellín. Special attention must be given to home/away performance, as Cali has shown different results at home and away.

Cali Analysis

The home team comes into this 2nd round after a defeat in their league debut against Jaguares de Córdoba, losing 1-0. They tend to be a stronger team at home, as shown by their record over the last 30 matches: 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses as visitors, compared to 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses at home. Cali has won 3, drawn 3, and lost 4 of its last 10 home games across all competitions. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, they have never recovered from a deficit in the 6 matches in which they conceded the first goal. In their last 12 home games across all competitions, they experienced a notable pattern: they conceded 6 of their 15 goals during the minutes (76’-90’).

The Deportivo Cali began the Apertura far from their ideal performance, already suffering a hard blow in their opener. The team showed defensive fragility and failed to execute effective offensive play, resulting in a 1-0 defeat. This setback highlighted the need for the team to improve marking and to find more creativity in the final third of the field. Now, under the pressure of their home debut, Cali seeks to regain confidence in front of their fans. It’s time to rectify mistakes, enhance play construction, and convert possession into real chances. The team knows they cannot repeat the same pattern, as the Apertura demands consistency from the start.

Medellín Analysis

The visiting team arrives for this 2nd round after losing their league opener against Deportivo Pasto, also by 1-0. They are less affected by the home factor, showing similar results at home and away, with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 24 goals and conceding 18 in their last 30 matches. At home, they achieved 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last 10 away matches, Medellín won 3, drew 1, and lost 6. The team has allowed goals to opponents in 8 of the last 10 matches, indicating a defensive process that needs improvement. Their away games have a tendency for low-scoring, with less than 3 goals in 22 of their last 34 matches. In 15 games, they have never come back from a deficit in the 6 matches where they conceded the first goal. Among their last 10 away matches across all competitions, one period stands out: they scored 5 of their 14 goals between the minutes (76’-90’).

Medellín also began the Apertura with a heavy blow, exposing their technical limitations as visitors. The opening match was tough, and the team feels it needs to respond immediately to avoid falling behind in the championship race. Now, facing Deportivo Cali, who is also under pressure, the match takes on the shape of a redemption game. The team knows they need to improve ball circulation and gain more intensity in midfield, avoiding losing reference in transitions. It’s time to show personality, assert themselves defensively, and create more opportunities in attack. The squad must prove that they have learned from their mistakes and can respond with strength.

Best prediction for Cali vs Medellín

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

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