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Velo vs Guarani Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Velo vs Guarani

Here you will find the best prediction for Velo vs Guarani in the Paulista Championship, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Velo and Guarani.

Velo logo
Velo

  • January 22, 2026 – 00::30
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 4
Guarani logo
Guarani


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Velo and Guarani

The best prediction for
Velo vs Guarani in the Paulista Championship is to bet on under 2.5 goals. Considering the situation of both teams, the expectation is for a balanced, competitive match with intense marking, which increases the likelihood of a game with few goals. This prediction reflects the tendency towards a calculated duel, with controlled pacing and notable defensive focus.
 

Best prediction for Velo vs Guarani

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

Match prediction for Velo vs Guarani

The teams Velo and Guarani will compete at the Benito Agnelo Castellano Stadium in a match for the Paulista A1 (Paulista Series A1). There is only one recent head-to-head match recorded between these two teams, on February 19, 2025, which ended in a draw (1-1). In this match, the home factor could play a decisive role, as Guarani has shown performance differences in their home games versus away games.

Analysis of Velo

The home team is currently in 6th place, with 4 points earned from 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss. In their second-to-last match, they won away against Ponte Preta (0-1). In their last match, they lost away to Portuguesa (2-0). This is a team that maintains performance when playing away from their stadium, as in the last 30 games they recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, compared to 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses at home. In their last 6 home games, Velo has 2 wins and 4 draws. The team has allowed goals from their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating defensive processes that need improvement. In 12 games, they conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

In the encounter between Velo and Guarani, Velo enters the field looking to remain competitive in the middle of the table, with four points in three matches. The team has 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, having scored only one goal less than they conceded, which highlights offensive difficulties but a capability to resist defensively at crucial moments. Playing at home, the team should utilize their home advantage, trying to pressure the opponent, organize plays, and create opportunities to balance the match and seek a positive result that maintains the squad’s confidence.

Analysis of Guarani

After 2 draws and 1 loss, the visiting team is currently in 15th place, with 1 point earned. In their last match, they drew (1-1) at home against Santos, after previously losing (2-0) away to Novorizontino. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as in the last 30 matches they recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, with a total of 16 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home, they achieved 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, scoring a total of 14 goals and conceding 12. In their last 10 matches played away in all competitions, Guarani won 3, drew 3, and lost 4. Their defensive solidity has not been their strength, having conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, netting goals in 7 of the last 10 encounters. In 15 games, they have only managed to come back from behind once in the 7 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Guarani, on the other hand, occupies a more delicate position in the table, accumulating only two points from three matches due to two draws and a loss. The team has scored two goals and conceded four, demonstrating defensive difficulties and a need for tactical adjustments to avoid surprises. Playing away, they will need to focus on maintaining defensive compactness while exploring counter-attacks and minimizing errors, knowing that a positive result is crucial to escape the lower end of the standings.

Best prediction for Velo vs Guarani

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

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