➡️ What is the recommended bet for St. Pauli vs Hamburg?

The prediction and suggested bet for St. Pauli vs Hamburg on January 23, 2026, based on the analysis, is: Over 2.0 Asian goals.

➡️ What stadium will host St. Pauli vs Hamburg?

The St. Pauli vs Hamburg match on January 23, 2026, will be held at the Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg.

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St. Pauli vs Hamburg Prediction – Bundesliga

January 20, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for St. Pauli vs Hamburg

Here you will find the best prediction for St. Pauli vs Hamburg in the Bundesliga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between St. Pauli and Hamburg.

St. Pauli

January 23, 2026 – 19::30
Bundesliga
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 19

Hamburg

Betting tip and prediction for this match between St. Pauli vs Hamburg

The best prediction for
St. Pauli vs Hamburg in the Bundesliga is that there will be several goals. The average number of goals in matches between these two teams is high, with both teams showing some defensive weaknesses and tactical systems more suited for attacking play. It should be noted that the match is likely to be dominated largely by St. Pauli; however, the home team has shown some defensive inconsistency, which Hamburg could exploit.

Best prediction for St. Pauli vs Hamburg

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for St. Pauli vs Hamburg

The teams St. Pauli and Hamburg are facing off at Millerntor-Stadion in a match from the 19th round of the Bundesliga. In the last matchup between these teams in this competition, on August 29, 2025, St. Pauli won away (0-2). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, having won 3 of the last 4 meetings, with 1 match ending in a draw. However, in the last encounter at this venue in the 2. Bundesliga on December 1, 2023, the match ended in a 2-2 draw. The goals in that match were scored by Jackson Irvine (15′) and Daniel Heuer Fernandes (27′ own goal) for St. Pauli, while Robert Glatzel (58′) and Immanuel Pherai (60′) scored for Hamburg.

St. Pauli Analysis

The home team is currently in 18th place, with 12 points earned, after 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to VfL Wolfsburg (2-1). In the last match, they lost away to Borussia Dortmund (3-2). In their last 7 home games in the league, St. Pauli has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, earning 7 points out of a possible 21. The team allowed goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 matches they’ve played in this competition, indicating a lack of defensive strength. This is a team that rarely scores first: they have only led in 3 of their last 17 Bundesliga matches, managing to maintain that lead at halftime in 2 and winning at the end of 90 minutes in 2. In 17 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 13 times and only managed to overturn the deficit once. During their last 18 home matches across all competitions, they have had one notable period: scoring 6 of their 16 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

St. Pauli comes into this match following a defeat, losing 3-2 in their trip to Borussia Dortmund, marking their second consecutive loss in this Bundesliga. The goals for the team were scored by Ricky-Jade Jones and James Sands. The home team usually plays in a 3-4-3 tactical system, emphasizing quick transitions, especially through the flanks. In this setup, the three players responsible for causing panic in the opposing defense are Mathias Pereira Lage, Martijn Kaars, and Joel Chima Fujita. It’s important to highlight that the player tasked with steering the team’s offensive play is midfielder Eric Smith. Missing this match are Jackson Irvine, Danel Sinani, David Nemeth, Connor Metcalfe, Simon Spari, and Andréas Hountondji, all due to injuries.

Hamburg Analysis

After 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 14th position, having earned 17 points. In their last match, they drew with Borussia Mönchengladbach at home (0-0), after previously losing away to SC Freiburg (2-1). In the league, Hamburg has earned just 2 points from a possible 24, after 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 8 away matches.

In this competition, they have lost their last 5 away games and have not won any of their last 8 away matches. The most frequent result at halftime in their away league matches has been 0-0, occurring in 4 of their 9 games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 17 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and only managed one comeback.

Hamburg comes into this match after a 0-0 draw against Borussia Mönchengladbach, making it their fourth consecutive match without a win in this Bundesliga. The visiting club usually plays in a 3-4-3 tactical system, focusing on a more offensive style of play, attacking through the wings. In this setup, the three players occupying the most advanced area of the field are Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer, Damion Downs, and Jean-Luc Dompé. When attacking, the team generally favors the right flank, leveraging the depth provided by fullback Bakery Jatta. Missing this match are Albert Sambi Lokonga, Fábio Baldé, Fernando Dickes, Aboubaka Soumahoro, Warmed Omari, and Yussuf Poulsen, all sidelined due to injuries.