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Vitória de Guimarães vs Porto Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Vitória de Guimarães vs Porto

Here you will find the best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Porto in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Vitória de Guimarães and Porto.

Vitória de Guimarães logo
Vitória de Guimarães

  • January 18, 2026 – 20::30
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Porto logo
Porto


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Vitória de Guimarães and Porto

The best prediction for
Vitória de Guimarães vs Porto in the Primeira Liga is FC Porto Asian Handicap -1. The Dragons are unstoppable and have managed to win even when their performances have not been stellar. Porto’s pragmatism should prevail over a Vitória SC that has not fared well in matches requiring strong defensive tactics. Therefore, the FC Porto Asian Handicap -1 is quite an interesting bet, as it provides protection in the event of a narrow victory for FC Porto.

Best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Porto

FC Porto Asian Handicap -1

Match prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Porto

The teams Vitória de Guimarães and Porto play at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in a match of the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on August 11, 2025, Porto won at home by (3‑0). In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations favors the visiting team, which has 5 victories in the last 5 games. In fact, the last time they faced each other in this stadium was on September 21, 2024, in a Primeira Liga match that ended with Porto winning by (0‑3). The goals in that match were scored by Pepê (88′) and Samu Omorodion (47′ and 58′) for Porto. In this game, the home factor may play an important role, as Vitória de Guimarães shows significant differences in results achieved at home versus those as a visitor.

Analysis of Vitória de Guimarães

The home team is currently in 7th place, having secured 25 points from 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew away against Casa Pia (0‑0). In their last match, they won at home against Nacional (2‑1). Interestingly, this team performs better away than at home, with their last 30 matches recording 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, scoring 15 goals and conceding 16, compared to 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses at home, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. In their last game for the League Cup, they won against Sporting Braga at home (2‑1). In their last 9 home league matches, Vitória de Guimarães has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, obtaining 15 points out of a possible 27. Their home games tend to see goals, as 8 of their last 9 matches in the competition ended with more than 1.5 goals. In 17 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and managed to come back only twice.

Ultimately, Vitória de Guimarães had its best moment of the season when they won the League Cup, proving that not all teams labeled as “stronger” necessarily win. This was evident against Sporting Braga, where the Vimaranense team even faced a setback but, as demonstrated against FC Porto, they can summon strength from unexpected places. Led by Luís Pinto, and with fans uncertain if he is the “right man in the right place,” this League Cup victory and the high-quality matches that the Vitória SC team played have significantly bolstered Luís Pinto’s credibility and his coaching staff. Despite their recent improvement, Vitória SC is still positioned 7th in Liga Portugal, just 2 points behind Moreirense.

 

Analysis of Porto

After 16 wins and 1 draw, the visiting team is in 1st place, having accumulated 49 points. In their last match, they won against Santa Clara away (0‑1), after previously winning at home against AVS (2‑0). This is a team little affected by playing at home, as they have similar results at home and away; in their last 30 games, they have recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 27 goals and conceding 7. At home, they achieved 13 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a total of 32 goals scored and 8 conceded. In their last match for the Portugal Cup, they won against Benfica at home (1‑0).

In this competition, they have won their last 9 matches as visitors. In their league away games, the most frequent halftime result has been 0‑1 (4 in 9 matches). Defensive solidity has been one of their strengths, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of their last 10 matches, while their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. This is a team that often takes the lead first: they opened the scoring in 15 of their last 17 matches in the Primeira Liga, of those 15 they went into halftime leading in 11 and maintained the lead until the end of the 90’.

Porto continues to surpass itself with each passing game. This squad, led by Farioli, has shown that it is highly pragmatic, and winning is the primary objective, even if it often requires “sweat and tears,” as seen in their last match where they won against Benfica. A triumph by (1-0) allowed the Dragons to advance in the Portugal Cup and eliminate one of the strongest threats. It is time to return to the league, where the blue and whites have been “kings and lords,” boasting a remarkable and unprecedented record of 16 wins and 1 draw! Even against a demanding opponent like Vitória SC, given what they have achieved, the Dragons must be serious favorites to leave Vitória de Guimarães with all 3 points.

Best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Porto

FC Porto Asian Handicap -1

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