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Villarreal vs Ajax Prediction – Champions League

Check out the best predictions for Villarreal vs Ajax

Here you will find the best prediction for Villarreal vs Ajax for the Champions League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Villarreal and Ajax.

Villarreal logo
Villarreal

  • January 20, 2026 – 20::00
  • UEFA Champions League

  • 2025/2026
  • League Stage – Round 7
Ajax logo
Ajax


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Villarreal vs Ajax

The best prediction for Villarreal vs Ajax in the Champions League is over 2.5 goals. Considering both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, especially Ajax, who tends to both concede and score goals when playing away, this prediction aligns with their current form.

Best prediction for Villarreal vs Ajax

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, doubles or triples)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Villarreal vs Ajax

The teams Villarreal and Ajax are set to clash at Estadio de la Cerámica in a UEFA Champions League match (League Stage). Based on our data, there are no recent records of matches between the two teams. It is important to analyze their home and away performance carefully, as Villarreal has shown different results at home compared to away.

Villarreal Analysis

After 1 draw and 5 losses, the home team currently sits in 35th place with 1 point earned. In their last match, they lost (2-3) at home to FC Copenhagen, following a previous loss (4-0) away to Borussia Dortmund. This team is significantly impacted by home advantage, as they are stronger when playing in front of their supporters; over their last 30 matches, they have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 21 goals and conceding 20, while at home they achieved 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 31 goals and conceding 18. The team comes into this encounter after an away defeat to Real Betis (2-0). Villarreal has won 5, drawn 2, and lost 3 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.

In this competition, they have not won in 6 matches. Their defensive solidity has not been a strong point, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 6 matches in this competition. In home games, there is a tendency for goals, as 20 of their last 23 matches ended with over 1.5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never managed to turn the match around.

Villarreal enters this match for the 7th round of the group stage of the Champions League sitting in 35th place, ten points adrift of the tenth place and eleven points behind the eighth. Playing in a 4-4-2 formation, the team operates with four players to assist in both defensive and offensive moments, creating plays for their two forwards. As hosts, their performance has been inconsistent; in their last five home matches, they have achieved three wins and two losses, with all matches seeing more than 1.5 goals scored, and three of them saw over 2.5 goals.

Ajax Analysis

The visiting team currently finds itself in 34th place with 3 points earned, having achieved 1 victory and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Benfica (0-2). In the last match, they secured an away victory against Qarabağ (2-4). This team is less affected by home advantage, meaning they show similar results at home and away; in their last 30 matches, they registered 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 32 goals and conceding 39. At home, they achieved 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a total of 23 goals scored and 18 conceded. The team heads into this match after a home draw with Go Ahead Eagles (2-2). In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Ajax won 5, drew 2, and lost 3. The team has not been very strong defensively, as they have conceded goals in the last 6 matches they played in this competition. In their away games, there is a tendency for goals, as 22 of their last 25 matches finished with over 1.5 goals, and 18 out of 25 ended with over 2.5 goals. In 15 matches, they conceded the first goal 8 times, managing to come back only twice.

Ajax enters this match for the 7th round of the group stage of the Champions League holding 34th place, eight points behind the tenth place and nine points behind the eighth place. Operating in a 4-3-3 formation, the team employs a three-player line to support defensive and offensive moments, generating plays for their three forwards. As visitors, they have shown inconsistent performance; of their last five away matches, they recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss, with all seeing more than 2.5 goals and in four of them both teams scored.

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