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Milan vs Lecce Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Milan vs Lecce

Here you will find the best prediction for Milan vs Lecce in the Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Milan and Lecce.

Milan logo
Milan

  • January 18, 2026 – 19::45
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Lecce logo
Lecce


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Milan vs Lecce

The best prediction for the Milan vs Lecce match in Serie A is that Milan will be leading at halftime. In addition to playing at home with massive support from their fans, they will face an opponent who is demotivated after losing three of their last four away games. Therefore, it is expected that the home team will showcase their quality and be ahead by halftime.

Best prediction for Milan vs Lecce

Milan to win at halftime

Match prediction for Milan vs Lecce

The teams Milan and Lecce are set to clash at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a match for the 21st round of Serie A TIM. In their last encounter in this competition on August 29, 2025, AC Milan won away with a score of (0-2). At this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 3 victories in the last 3 matches. Indeed, the last time they faced each other at this stadium was on September 23, 2025, in a Coppa Italia match that ended with AC Milan winning (3-0). The goals for that match were scored by Santiago Gimenez (20’), Christian Pulisic (64’), and Christopher Nkunku (51’) for Milan.

Milan Analysis

After 12 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, the home team sits in 2nd place with 43 points. In their last match, they won against Como with a score of (1-3), following a draw in the previous game against Fiorentina (1-1). In the last 10 home matches in the league, Milan has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, gathering 21 points from a possible 30.

In this competition, they are unbeaten in their last 19 matches. Their attack has been consistently effective, scoring at least one goal in the last 10 matches of this competition. In 20 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times but managed to recover the score in 3 of those games.

Milan enters this match motivated after a victory of 1-3 against Como, thus ending a streak of three consecutive matches without a win in Serie A: the goals were scored by Adrien Rabiot (two) and Christopher Nkunku. The home team typically plays in a 3-4-3 tactical system, with Rafael León and Christian Pulišić being the three most advanced players. In this setup, the playmaker for Milan is Luka Modrić. Absent from this match are Strahinja Pavlović and Santiago Giménez, both dealing with physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Mike Maignan, Koni De Winter, Davide Bartesaghi, Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Adrien Rabiot, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modrić, Alexis Saelemaekers, Christopher Nkunku, Rafael León.
Coach: M. Allegri.

Lecce Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 17th place with 17 points, having achieved 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Parma (1-2). In their last match, they lost away to Inter (1-0). In the league, Lecce has secured 8 points from a possible 27, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 9 away games. Their defensive solidity has not been a strong point, having conceded goals in 8 out of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games in this competition, there is a tendency for few goals, as in 7 of the last 9 they played, there were less than 3 goals. In 20 matches, they have never managed to turn the score around in the 9 matches where they conceded first.

Lecce enters this match demotivated after a 1-0 defeat against Inter, marking their third consecutive loss in this competition. The away team is expected to employ a 4-3-3 tactical system, aiming to stabilize the game and attack in a more organized manner. In this setup, the forwards will be Nikola Štulić, Omri Gandelman, and Lameck Banda. Consequently, it’s anticipated that the visitors will adopt a more defensive posture to avoid conceding the first goal of the match. Absent from this match are Danilo Veiga and Gaspar, who are suspended, as well as Francesco Camarda, who has physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Wladimiro Falcone, Matías Pérez, Jamil Siebert, Antonino Gallo, Tiago Gabriel, Omri Gandelman, Youssef Maleh, Lassana Coulibaly, Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Stulic, Riccardo Sottil.
Coach: M. Giampaolo.

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