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São Bernardo vs Noroeste Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for São Bernardo vs Noroeste

Here you will find the best prediction for São Bernardo vs Noroeste in the Paulista Championship, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between São Bernardo and Noroeste.

São Bernardo logo
São Bernardo

  • January 18, 2026 – 20::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 3
Noroeste logo
Noroeste


Betting tip and prediction for this match between São Bernardo and Noroeste

The best prediction for São Bernardo vs Noroeste in the Paulista Championship is under 2.5 goals. The match between São Bernardo and Noroeste is likely to be characterized by caution and mutual respect, especially in the early minutes. Despite playing at home, São Bernardo will face a well-structured opponent, making it difficult to create space and slowing down the match’s tempo. Noroeste, aware of the challenges as visitors, will prioritize defensive organization and avoid exposing themselves. This prediction suggests a tightly contested match with few clear chances throughout the 90 minutes, indicating that the under 2.5 goals market is a good choice for this game.

Best prediction for São Bernardo vs Noroeste

Under 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

Match prediction for São Bernardo vs Noroeste

The teams São Bernardo and Noroeste face off at the Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco in a match for the Paulista A1. There is only one recent head-to-head record between these two teams, on February 12, 2025, which ended with a victory for São Bernardo (2-3).

Analysis of São Bernardo

The home team arrives at this third round in fifth place, with 3 points, following 1 win and 1 loss. In their debut, they won at home against Capivariano (4-0). In the second round, they lost away to São Paulo (1-0). São Bernardo has won 5, drawn 3, and lost 2 of their last 10 matches played at home across all competitions. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 6 times and never managed to turn the score around.

São Bernardo takes the field with the aim of having a solid campaign in the Paulista Championship, knowing the importance of earning points from the start. Playing at home, the team tends to adopt a more offensive posture, aiming to control possession and pressure the opponent. The squad is considered strong for the level of the competition, which increases the responsibility for a good result. While respecting Noroeste, the proposal is to play actively and intensely. The expectation is for an organized team, trying to build the score from the early minutes. Winning at home is crucial for building confidence and momentum in the tournament.

Analysis of Noroeste

After 1 draw and 1 loss, the visiting team arrives at this third round in 13th place, with 1 point earned. In the previous round, they drew away against Botafogo SP (1-1), after having lost in their first match of this group stage (0-1) at home against Bragantino. In their last 10 away matches, Noroeste has won 1, drawn 4, and lost 5. Defensive solidity has not been their strength, as they conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. There is a trend for goals in their away matches, as 9 of their last 10 games ended with over 1.5 goals. In 15 games, they have never managed to turn around the score in the 8 matches where they conceded the first goal. In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, there is a notable period: they scored 3 of their 6 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Noroeste arrives for this clash aware of the difficulties they will face playing away against a qualified opponent. The team knows they will need a lot of tactical discipline and concentration to balance the actions. The tendency is for a more cautious approach, looking to close spaces and exploit possible errors from the rival. Even at a disadvantage on paper, Noroeste aims to surprise with competitiveness and commitment. Scoring points away would be an extremely positive result for the continuation of the championship. The match promises to be challenging and will require maximum focus throughout the ninety minutes.

Best prediction for São Bernardo vs Noroeste

Under 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

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