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Parma vs Genoa Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Parma vs Genoa

Here you can find the best prediction for Parma vs Genoa in Serie A, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their latest games to deliver the best prediction for this match between Parma and Genoa.

Parma logo
Parma

  • January 18, 2026 – 11::30
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Genoa logo
Genoa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Parma vs Genoa

The best prediction for Parma vs Genoa in the Serie A is over 1.5 goals. It is expected that the home team will control the game, but both teams tend to create a lot of scoring opportunities in open matches. It’s noteworthy that the “Over 1.5 Goals” market has been successful in all away matches played by Genoa.

Best prediction for Parma vs Genoa

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)

Match prediction for Parma vs Genoa

The teams Parma and Genoa face off at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in a match of the 21st round of Serie A TIM. In their last meeting in this competition on October 19, 2025, the final result was a 0-0 draw. The history of direct confrontations held in this stadium favors the visiting team, as they have won 2 and lost 1 of the last 3 matches. Notably, in the last match at this stadium, in a Serie A TIM game on November 4, 2024, Genoa managed to win (0-1). Andrea Pinamonti scored the only goal of the match. It is crucial to pay special attention to home/away conditions, as Parma has shown varying results at home and away.

Parma Analysis

After 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, the home team is in 14th place with 22 points. In their last match, they drew 0-0 away against Napoli, after having previously won away against Lecce (1-2). Interestingly, this team has been stronger away than at home, recording 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses in the last 30 games as visitors, compared to 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses at home. In the league, Parma has earned 9 points from the last 30 available, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 home games. In matches played at home, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 minutes has been 0-0, occurring in 4 of their 10 games. Defensive solidity has not been their forte, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 league matches. This team tends to score first infrequently, having only opened the score in 5 of their last 20 Serie A TIM matches; out of those 5, they led at halftime in 2 and claimed victory in 4 of them. Out of 20 matches in the competition, they only managed 1 comeback in the 11 games where they conceded the first goal.

Parma comes into this match following a draw, 0-0, in its trip to Napoli’s stadium, marking the second consecutive game without losing in Serie A. The home team is likely to set up in a 3-5-2 tactical system, with Patrick Cutrone and Jacob Ondrejka taking on key offensive roles. It is important to highlight that midfielder Nahuel Estévez is responsible for organizing the offensive sector. When they launch an attack, it usually comes from the left, utilizing the depth provided by fullback Oliver Sørensen. Vicente Guaita, Pontus Almqvist, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Mathias Løvik, Matija Frigan, and Zion Suzuki are all absent from this match due to physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Filippo Rinaldi, Enrico Delprato, Sascha Britschgi, Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti, Oliver Sørensen, Nahuel Estévez, Mandela Keita, Christian Ordóñez, Jacob Ondrejka, Patrick Cutrone.
Coach: G. Iachini.

Genoa Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 15th place, having accumulated 19 points from 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew away against AC Milan (1-1). In the last match, they won at home against Cagliari (3-0). This team is not significantly affected by the home advantage, with similar results at home and away, having recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, scoring 18 goals and conceding 25. At home, they registered 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 18 goals and conceding 19. In the league, Genoa has garnered 9 points from 27 available, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 9 away games. In matches played away in the league, the most common result at the end of the first 45 minutes has been 0-1, which occurred in 5 of their 11 matches. The team has conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of their last 10 games, indicating a lack of defensive solidity. However, their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition. There is a trend of goals in their away games, as 7 of their last 9 matches in the competition ended with over 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times and managed only 1 comeback in the scoreline.

Genoa comes into this clash following a 3-0 victory against Cagliari, marking their third consecutive game without a loss in Serie A: the team’s goals were scored by Leo Østigård, Morten Frendrup, and Lorenzo Colón. The visiting team typically aligns in a 3-5-2 tactical formation, with Lorenzo Colón and Vitinha taking on key roles in the attack. In midfield, Morten Frendrup organizes the offensive play, playing a critical role in creating and distributing the ball. When they attack, it usually happens through the left flank, utilizing the depth provided by fullback Aarón Martín. Benjamin Siegrist, Maxwel Cornet, Albert Grønbæk, and Caleb Ekuban are all out for this match due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Nicola Leali, Alessandro Marcandalli, Aarón Martín, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, Ruslan Malinoxkyi, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Morten Frendrup, Lorenzo Colón, Vitinha.
Coach: P. Vieira.

Best prediction for Parma vs Genoa

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)

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