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Corinthians vs São Paulo Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Corinthians x São Paulo

Here you will find the best prediction for Corinthians x São Paulo in the Paulista Championship, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Corinthians x São Paulo.

Corinthians logo
Corinthians

  • January 18, 2026 – 19::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Serie A1 – Round 3
São Paulo logo
São Paulo


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Corinthians x São Paulo

The best prediction for the Corinthians x São Paulo match in the Paulista Championship is that both teams will score. This classic matchup features a high intensity and commitment from both sides. Playing at home, Corinthians tends to take the initiative, driven by their supporters to control the game’s tempo. Meanwhile, São Paulo is known to perform well in big matches even when playing away, and shouldn’t solely focus on defense. The expectation is for an open game with key moments unfolding over the course of the 90 minutes, creating opportunities for both teams to find the net. With this in mind, betting on both teams to score is an intriguing option.

Match prediction for Corinthians x São Paulo

The teams Corinthians and São Paulo play at the Itaipava Arena Pernambuco in a match of the Paulista A1 (Paulista Serie A1). In this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 6 encounters. The last meeting took place at this venue on November 20, 2025, during a Brasileirao Serie A match, which ended with Corinthians winning 3-1. The goals were scored by Yuri Alberto (89′ and 31′) and Memphis Depay (84′) for Corinthians, while Gonzalo Tapia (54′) found the net for São Paulo. The home advantage could play a significant role, as São Paulo has shown considerable differences in their performances at home versus away.

Analysis of Corinthians

The home team enters this 3rd round in 8th place, with 3 points earned from 1 win and 1 loss. In their opener, they won at home against Ponte Preta 3-0. In the 2nd round, they lost away to Bragantino 3-0. This team maintains a solid performance even when playing away; in their last 30 matches, they recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses as visitors compared to 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses at home. Corinthians has won 6, drawn 3, and lost 1 of their last 10 matches across all competitions at home. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating a defense that needs improvement, while their attack has scored consistently, managing to find the net in 7 of their last 10 games. Out of 15 games, they only managed to turn the score around once in the 6 matches where they conceded first. In their last 20 home games across all competitions, 9 of their 25 goals were scored between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Corinthians approaches this classic in the Paulista Championship with boosted confidence playing at home, where they are typically strong and competitive. The home factor works in favor of Timão, who tend to exert intense pressure from the start, aiming to impose their rhythm on the opponent. Given that this is the first classic of the season, the team is expected to take this match with utmost seriousness and focus. An intense midfield battle with few defensive concessions is anticipated. Controlling emotions will be key to converting fan support into a tangible advantage. A victory in this classic can provide a morale boost for the upcoming matches in the tournament.

Analysis of São Paulo

The visiting team arrives at this 3rd round in 10th place, also with 3 points from 1 win and 1 loss. In their opener, they lost away to Mirassol 3-0. In the 2nd round, they won at home against São Bernardo 1-0. This team performs better at home; in their last 30 matches, they achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses as visitors, compared to 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses at home. In their last 10 away games, São Paulo secured 2 victories and lost 8. They have allowed goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating defensive processes that need attention. They have faced the first goal 7 times in 15 games and have never managed to turn the score around when going behind. Two noteworthy periods in their last 20 away matches are: they scored 6 out of 15 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes; and conceded 29 out of 59 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.

São Paulo steps onto the pitch aware of the difficulties posed by facing their rival away but with the clear goal of avoiding defeat in this classic encounter. The team typically excels in significant matches and will likely take a balanced approach, prioritizing tactical organization and efficiency. Even when playing as visitors, they recognize the importance of scoring against a direct competitor. Given that this is the first classic of the season, meticulous attention to detail is expected. The match is likely to be fiercely contested, with a tense atmosphere and high competitiveness. A positive result could enhance confidence and mark a promising start in the state championship.

Best prediction for Corinthians x São Paulo

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes


 

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