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Gil Vicente vs Nacional Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Gil Vicente vs Nacional

Here you will find the best prediction for Gil Vicente vs Nacional in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their latest matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Gil Vicente and Nacional.

Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente

  • January 17, 2026 – 15::30
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Nacional logo
Nacional


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Gil Vicente vs Nacional

The best prediction for Gil Vicente vs Nacional in the Primeira Liga is that both teams will score. This matchup presents solid potential since it’s easy to identify a favorite, which is the Gil Vicente team. However, considering the recent history of both teams, this encounter is expected to feature several goals. Therefore, two bets emerge as having good chances of success: the first being both teams to score, and for more conservative bettors, combining a draw or a win for Gil Vicente with more than 1.5 goals could also be interesting.

Best prediction for Gil Vicente vs Nacional

Gil Vicente to win or draw (double chance) and More than 1.5 goals

Match prediction for Gil Vicente vs Nacional

The teams Gil Vicente and Nacional will face off at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos in a match for the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last encounter in this league edition, Gil Vicente emerged victorious with a score of (0-2) on August 9, 2025. The head-to-head record in this stadium favors the home team, having won all of the last 3 matches played there. Notably, in the last meeting at this stadium for the Primeira Liga on December 7, 2024, Gil Vicente won by (2-1). The goals in that match were scored by Rúben Fernandes (90′) and Santiago Garcia Gonzalez (7′) for Gil Vicente, while Ulisses (50′) scored for Nacional. It’s essential to pay special attention to the home/away conditions, as both teams exhibit significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of Gil Vicente

After 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, the home team sits in 4th place with 28 points. In their last match, they drew (1-1) at home against Sporting CP after previously drawing (2-2) away against Arouca. This is somewhat curious, as the team tends to perform better away than at home, having recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 22 goals and conceding 13, compared to 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses at home, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the league, Gil Vicente has secured 14 points out of a possible 24, having achieved 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 8 home matches. There are common scorelines in their home games: at halftime, they’ve been leading 0-1 in 3 out of 8 matches, and at full-time, 2-0 in 3 of those 8 matches. Their attack has been consistently scoring, finding the net in 8 out of their last 10 league games. Their home matches tend to see fewer goals, as 7 of their last 8 encounters resulted in fewer than 3 goals. In 17 league games, they’ve conceded the first goal 4 times and have never managed to come back to win from that position. Interestingly, they scored 6 of their 16 goals within the time frame of the last 18 matches played at home in all competitions, specifically between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Gil Vicente has entered a winless streak that has lasted for 7 consecutive rounds. This team, led by César Peixoto, has remained competitive, and if there were doubts, one only has to look at their last match where they held the reigning champions, Sporting, to a draw, taking 2 points from them. It’s also interesting to note that they’ve been scoring and conceding goals for the past 4 games consecutively. The absences the team faced in their defensive line during the CAN may have strongly contributed to their inconsistency. The absence of their top scorer, Pablo, due to injury during the same period, has also diminished the team’s finishing capabilities. Despite earning fewer points recently, Gil Vicente still remains one of the better teams in this league.

Confirmed lineup: Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira, Antonio Espigares Morillas, Hevertton Ciriaco Santos, Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert, José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves, Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba, Santiago García González, Luís André Leite Esteves, Tidjany Chabrol Touré, Murilo de Souza Costa, Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela.
Manager: I. Abreu Vieira.

Analysis of Nacional

After 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team currently ranks 13th with 17 points. In their last match, they drew (3-3) at home against Santa Clara, after losing away (2-1) against Vitória de Guimarães in the previous game. This team has, curiously, been stronger away than at home, as shown in their last 30 games where they recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, compared to 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses at their home ground. In their last 9 away games in the league, Nacional has achieved 2 victories, 4 draws, and 3 losses, earning 10 points from a possible 27.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 5 away games. The team has shown weaknesses defensively, as they have conceded goals in their last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of their last 10 league games. Their away matches tend to see fewer goals, as 7 of the last 9 games in this competition ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 17 matches this season, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and only managed to turn around the game twice.

The Nacional team is currently in quite a “lukewarm” phase, lacking significant urgency, and has only secured 1 win in their last 5 matches. Like their opponent, this Madeira team has also featured games with goals from both sides. Four consecutive games have seen this trend, and in their last match against Santa Clara, the game ended with 6 goals, 3 for each side. Now they travel to Gil Vicente in hopes of at least scoring to avoid slipping into the relegation zone.

Confirmed lineup: Kaique, João Aurélio, Léo Santos, Ze Vitor, José Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Miguel Baeza, Pablo Ruan, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez.
Manager: F. Nunes Cândido.

Best prediction for Gil Vicente vs Nacional

Gil Vicente to win or draw (double chance) and More than 1.5 goals

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