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Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Napoli vs Sassuolo

Here you will find the best prediction for Napoli vs Sassuolo in Serie A, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their latest games to provide the best prediction for this match between Napoli and Sassuolo.

Napoli logo
Napoli

  • January 17, 2026 – 17::00
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Sassuolo logo
Sassuolo


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Napoli vs Sassuolo

The best prediction for Napoli vs Sassuolo in the Serie A is a Napoli win. The home team benefits from strong support from their fans and welcomes an opponent with a weaker squad. It’s important to note that Sassuolo has won only two of their last ten away games. Therefore, it is expected that the home side will showcase their favoritism and secure all three points.

Best prediction for Napoli vs Sassuolo

Napoli to win

Match prediction for Napoli vs Sassuolo

The teams Napoli and Sassuolo meet at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in a match in the 21st round of Serie A TIM. In their last encounter in this competition, on August 23, 2025, Napoli won away from home by (0-2). The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium favors the home team, which has won all three of their last matches played here. Notably, in the last match at this stadium for Serie A TIM, on August 27, 2023, Napoli won by (2-0). The goals for Napoli were scored by Giovanni Di Lorenzo (64′) and Victor Osimhen (16′). Special attention must be given to the home/away conditions, as Napoli shows varying results depending on the venue.

Analysis of Napoli

After 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, the home team is in 3rd place with 40 points. In their last match, they drew with Parma at home (0-0), having drawn away against Inter (2-2) in the previous game. This is a team that significantly benefits from playing at home, as evidenced by their last 30 matches where they recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 16 goals and conceding 19, compared to 10 wins and 5 draws at home, scoring 25 goals and conceding 10. In the league, Napoli has secured 21 points from 27 possible after 6 wins and 3 draws in their last 9 matches at their stadium.

They have not lost in their last 9 home games in this competition. Their attack has been consistently effective, finding the net in 7 of their last 10 matches in this league. In home matches, there is a tendency for goals, as 6 out of 9 ended with over 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in the league, they conceded the first goal 7 times and managed only 1 comeback.

Napoli enters this match after a goalless draw with Parma, marking their fifth consecutive match without a loss in Serie A. The home team typically lines up in a 3-4-3 formation, with Noa Lang, Rasmus Højlund, and David Neres as key offensive players. The brain of the team is midfielder Stanislav Lobotka, responsible for organizing play and dictating the tempo of transitions. When seeking to create danger, the home side focuses on the right flank, where Matteo Politano stands out with his precise crosses and ability to destabilize defenses. Absent from this match are Alex Meret, Frank Anguissa, Romelu Lukaku, Billy Gilmour, and Kevin De Bruyne, all due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Vanja Milinković-Savić, Amir Rrahmani, Leonardo Spinazzola, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Sam Beukema, Juan Jesus, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Eljif Elmas, Rasmus Højlund, David Neres .
Coach: A. Conte.

Analysis of Sassuolo

The visiting team is currently in 12th place, with 23 points, after 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Juventus (0-3). In their last match, they lost away to Roma (2-0). This team maintains a decent performance when playing away, as in their last 30 matches they recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses as visitors; compared to 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses at home. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Sassuolo recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, earning 12 points from 30 possible. In their league games as visitors, the most common halftime score was 0-0 (5 out of 10 matches). The team has conceded goals to opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition, indicating a weak defensive performance. In 20 matches in this league, they’ve only managed 1 comeback in the 12 games where they conceded first. In their last 10 away matches in this competition, there’s a pattern: 6 of their 12 goals came between the minutes (61’‑75’).

Sassuolo enters this match after a defeat, losing 2-0 at the Roma stadium, marking their second consecutive defeat in Serie A. The visiting team usually operates in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a faster style of play. In this setup, the three players responsible for causing panic in the opponent’s area are Armand Laurienté, Andrea Pinamonti, and Alieu Fadera. Midfielder Ismael Koné acts as the team’s brain, responsible for initiating and driving the visitors’ offensive moves. Absent from this match are Kristian Thorstvedt and Edoardo Pieragnolo, both due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Arijanet Murić, Sebastian Walukiewicz, Josh Doig, Jay Idzes, Tarik Muharemović, Ismaël Koné, Nemanja Matic, Edoardo Iannoni, Armand Laurienté, Alieu Fadera, Andrea Pinamonti.
Coach: A. Dionisi.

Best prediction for Napoli vs Sassuolo

Napoli to win

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