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RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich

Here you will find the best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich.

RB Leipzig logo
RB Leipzig

  • January 17, 2026 – 17::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Bayern Munich logo
Bayern Munich


Betting tip and prediction for this match between RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich

The best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga is over 2.5 goals. Despite Bayern Munich expected to dominate, both teams have shown some defensive instability, suggesting an encounter played at a high pace with opportunities to create danger. Considering the immense offensive quality of both teams and the vulnerability of their respective defenses, betting on the combined market “Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score – Yes” in this match is a solid option.

Match prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich

The teams RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich face off at the Red Bull Arena, in a match for the 18th round of the Bundesliga. It was Bayern Munich who won at home (6-0) the last time they met in this league edition on August 22, 2025. Recent head-to-head records favor the visiting team, which has won 5, drawn 3, and lost 2 of their last 10 encounters.

Analysis of RB Leipzig

After 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, the home team sits in 3rd place with 32 points. In their last match, they won against SC Freiburg at home (2-0), following a previous home loss to Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-3). In their last 8 home matches in the league, RB Leipzig has recorded 7 wins and 1 loss, earning 21 points out of 24 available. Common results at their home ground include 0-0 at halftime (3 out of 8 games) and 2-0 at full-time (3 out of 8 games). Their attack has scored regularly, netting in 9 of their last 10 league matches. There is a trend of goals in their home games, with all of their last 8 matches in this league ending with over 1.5 goals. The team has rarely struggled to take the lead: they scored first in 13 of their last 16 Bundesliga matches, of which they were leading at halftime in 7 and maintained the lead until the end in 10.

RB Leipzig enters this match with a victory of 2-0 against Freiburg, putting an end to two consecutive defeats in this Bundesliga season: goals were scored by Rômulo and Willi Orbán. The team, coached by Ole Werner, is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Tidiam Gomis, Assan Ouédraogo, and Rômulo making up the forward trio. In the midfield, Christoph Baumgartner will be crucial in dictating the pace of the game and organizing the team’s offensive process. Missing from this game are Lukas Klostermann, Johan Bakayoko, and Viggo Gebel, all injured.

Confirmed lineup: Péter Gulácsi, Castello Lukeba, Ridle Baku, Willi Orbán, David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Xaver Schlager, Yan Diomande, Rômulo, Antonio Nusa.
Coach: Z. Low.

Analysis of Bayern Munich

After 15 wins and 2 draws, the visiting team holds the 1st position, having gathered 47 points. In their last match, they won against FC Köln away (1-3), following a home victory against VfL Wolfsburg (8-1).

In this competition, they remain undefeated in their last 8 away matches. The most common halftime score in away league games has been 0-2 (3 out of 8 matches). Their attack has consistently scored, netting at least one goal in their last 10 league games. In their away matches for this competition, there’s a tendency for goals, as all 8 have concluded with over 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. This is a team that often scores first: they took the lead in 13 of their last 17 Bundesliga matches, from which they were ahead at halftime in 11 and maintained the lead until the final whistle in 12. In 17 Bundesliga matches, they conceded the first goal 4 times but managed to come from behind to win in 3 instances.

Bayern Munich comes into this clash with a 1-3 victory away at Köln, marking their third consecutive win in this Bundesliga season: goals were scored by Lennart Karl, Min-jae Kim, and Serge Gnabry. The team coached by Vincent Kompany is expected to align in a 4-3-3 formation, with Michael Olise, Luis Díaz, and Harry Kane as the main attacking threats. In midfield, Lennart Karl plays a central role in offensive construction, being the maestro who dictates the rhythm and exploits spaces between lines. Missing from this game are Joshua Kimmich, Alphonso Davies, Sacha Boey, Josip Stanisic, Min-jae Kim, Jamal Musiala, and Bara Sapoko Ndiaye, all due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Manuel Neuer, Dayot Upamecano, Hiroki Ito, Jonathan Tah, Raphaël Guerreiro, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Joshua Kimmich, Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, Luis Díaz, Harry Kane.
Coach: T. Tuchel.

Best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich

Total and Both Teams to Score -> Over 2.5 Goals and Yes

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