Almería vs La Coruña Prediction – Segunda Division

The home team is currently in 3rd place, with 36 points from 10 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they won at home against Granada (3-2). In the last match, they drew away to Mirandés (2-2). This team is minimally affected by the home factor, meaning they show similar results at home and away, as in their last 30 matches they have a record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded, compared to 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Almería has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, securing 20 points out of a possible 30. Their defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been regularly scoring, having found the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Their home games tend to feature goals, as 8 of their last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals. In 21 games in this competition, they have only managed one comeback in the 8 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Almería has been involved in thrilling matches, often scoring and conceding in most of them, drawing away to Mirandés last time out at 2-2, with goals from Álex Muñoz and Sergio Arribas. The team typically employs a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Léo Baptistão playing further forward and acting as the reference to hold off defenders and exploit spaces near the area. Behind him, Sergio Arribas, Arnau Puigmal, and Adrián Embarba form an extremely dynamic sector, constantly alternating between short approaches, infiltrations through half-spaces, and horizontal circulation to disrupt the opponent’s marking. This trio tends to shift heights, pulling the defense out of position and creating numerical superiority in the final third, allowing the team to maintain possession in higher zones and arrive at the goal through varied paths. There are no indications of absences for the next match, and the squad should be complete.