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Pachuca vs León Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for Pachuca vs León

Here you will find the best prediction for Pachuca vs León in Liga MX, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from past matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Pachuca and León.

Pachuca logo
Pachuca

  • January 13, 2026 – 01::00
  • Liga MX

  • 2025/2026
  • Clausura – Round 2
León logo
León


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Pachuca vs León

The best prediction for Pachuca vs León in Liga MX is under 2.5 goals. The Pachuca team is coming off a defeat in their debut and needs to bounce back at home, while León had a surprising performance in their first game after a poor previous tournament. With both teams showing offensive limitations and a tendency for tighter matches, this betting suggestion is prudent.

Best prediction for Pachuca vs León

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (more aggressive tip)

Match prediction for Pachuca vs León

The teams Pachuca and León are set to play at Estadio Hidalgo in a Liga MX match (Clausura). In this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 matchups. However, the last encounter at this venue was on February 6, 2025, where León won 2-1. The goals from that match were scored by John Kennedy (45′) for Pachuca and by J. Cádiz (5′) and S. Mendoza (64′) for León. The home advantage is likely to play an important role, as both teams have shown significant differences in results at home and away.

Analysis of Pachuca

The home team enters this second round after losing their league debut against Chivas Guadalajara, 0-2. This team is affected by playing at home, being stronger when they are supported by their fans. In the last 30 matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded, compared to 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses at home, with 17 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the league, Pachuca has 12 points out of 27 possible, after 4 wins and 5 losses in their last 9 games played at home. The most frequent halftime result in their league matches at home has been 0-0, which occurred in 5 out of their 9 games. The team has conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has consistently scored, finding the back of the net in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 20 matches in this competition, they have only managed to turn around the score in 2 out of the 13 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Pachuca is looking to recover after a disappointing start to the Clausura, which has left them near the bottom of the table. In the Apertura, the team finished in 9th place, with an inconsistent record marked by many draws and offensive difficulties, scoring only 21 goals in 17 matches. Playing at home against León is viewed as crucial to regain balance and start scoring, especially to avoid repeating the inconsistency that plagued them at the end of the last tournament.

Analysis of León

The visiting team comes into this second round after securing a victory in their league debut against Cruz Azul, 2-1. This team is also affected by the home factor, performing better with the support of their fans, as in the last 30 matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 10 goals and conceding 28. At home, they achieved 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a total of 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. In their last 8 away games in the league, León has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, earning 4 points out of 24 possible.

For this competition, they are on a 5-match losing streak in their last away matches and haven’t won any of their last 6 games outside their stadium. Common first-half scores in their away matches include 0-0 (3 out of 10 games) and 1-0 (3 out of 10 games), with a final score of 2-0 (4 out of 10 games) at the end of the 90 minutes. The team has not been defensively strong, conceding a goal in every one of their last 10 matches played in this competition. Away from home, there tends to be few goals, as 6 of their last 8 matches in this competition ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 18 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never managed to turn around the score.

León arrives buoyed by their victory in the first round, despite a very poor Apertura campaign, finishing in 17th place with one of the worst offensive and defensive records in the league. The strong initial result brings hope for a more competitive Clausura, but the team still needs to demonstrate consistency, which they have not shown before. The away match against Pachuca will be an important test to assess whether the team has genuinely changed their approach or if the initial victory was merely a one-off event.

Best prediction for Pachuca vs León

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (more aggressive tip)

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