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Metz vs Montpellier Prediction – French Cup

Check out the best predictions for Metz x Montpellier

Here you will find the best prediction for Metz x Montpellier in the French Cup, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Metz x Montpellier.

Metz logo
Metz

  • January 11, 2026 – 17::00
  • French Cup

  • 2025/2026
  • Round of 16
Montpellier logo
Montpellier


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Metz x Montpellier

The best prediction for
Metz x Montpellier in the French Cup is over 2.25 goals. It is expected that this match will favor the home team; however, both teams tend to provide quite entertaining games where attacks often outshine defenses. Notably, three of Metz’s last four official matches have ended with more than two goals at the final whistle. Thus, a competitive clash is anticipated, with scoring opportunities arising near both goalposts.

Best prediction for Metz x Montpellier

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.25 goals (riskier tip)

Over 2.25 goals

Match prediction for Metz x Montpellier

The teams Metz and Montpellier clash at the Stade Saint-Symphorien for the French Cup (Round of 16). In this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the visiting team, who have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. Indeed, the last encounter at this stadium was on December 17, 2023, in a Ligue 1 match that ended with Montpellier winning 1-0. The only goal of the match was scored by Maxime Estève (9′). In this match, the home advantage could play a significant role, as Montpellier shows substantial differences in results achieved at home versus away.

Analysis of Metz

The home team arrives at this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16) after a 3-0 victory away at Biesheim. This team is little affected by home advantage, showing similar results at home and away, with their last 30 matches recording 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, scoring 25 goals and conceding 36, compared to 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses at home, scoring 21 goals and conceding 19. They come into this clash following a draw away against Lorient (1-1). Metz has won 3, drawn 3, and lost 4 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions. The team allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating that their defense needs improvement, but their attack has been scoring regularly, having found the net in 9 of the last 10 encounters. In 15 matches, they have only managed 1 comeback in the 8 games where they conceded the first goal. Over the last 18 home games across all competitions, they have notable moments: they scored 11 of their 30 goals during the minutes (76’–90′).

The Metz team enters this encounter with a draw of 1-1 in their last away match against Lorient in Ligue 1, with the only goal from Louis Mouton. It is worth noting that the hosts reach this French Cup after eliminating Biesheim in the previous match. The home team typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, where Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Malick Mbaye, and Ibou Sane will be the main threats to the opposing defense. When they invest in the offensive process, they usually do so through the right wing, utilizing the depth offered by full-back Koffi Kouao. All players are available for this match.

Analysis of Montpellier

The visiting team arrives at this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16) after eliminating Canet Roussillon, winning 1-0 away in the previous round. Interestingly, this team has more positive results away than at home, with their last 30 matches recording 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, totaling 12 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home, they have achieved 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 26. In their last game in Ligue 2, they lost at home to Dunkerque (1-3). In the last 10 away matches, Montpellier has won 5, drawn 2, and lost 3. Their attack has been scoring regularly, netting goals in 8 of the last 10 games. In 15 matches, they have only managed 1 comeback in the 6 matches where they conceded the first goal. There are notable moments in the last 20 away matches across all competitions: they scored 6 of their 14 goals during the minutes (76’–90′).

Montpellier enters this challenge with a loss of 1-3 against Dunkerque in a Ligue 2 match, with their only goal scored by Louis Mouton. The visitors reach this French Cup after eliminating Canet Roussillon in the previous match. The visiting team usually plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring quick transitions. In this setup, the three forwards are Nicolas Pays, Alexandre Mendy, and Victor Orakpo. The team’s brain is midfielder Teji Savanier, responsible for organizing and driving their advances. All players are available for this match.

Match prediction for Metz x Montpellier

The teams Metz and Montpellier clash at the Stade Saint-Symphorien for the French Cup (Round of 16). In this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the visiting team, who have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. Indeed, the last encounter at this stadium was on December 17, 2023, in a Ligue 1 match that ended with Montpellier winning 1-0. The only goal of the match was scored by Maxime Estève (9′). In this match, the home advantage could play a significant role, as Montpellier shows substantial differences in results achieved at home versus away.

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