👉 What is the recommended bet for Lazio vs Fiorentina?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Lazio vs Fiorentina on January 7, 2026, as analyzed, is: Less than 2.5 goals ⇒ bet available on Bet365.

👉 What stadium will host Lazio vs Fiorentina?

Lazio vs Fiorentina on January 7, 2026, will be held in Rome, at the Stadio Olimpico.

👉 What is the most popular bet for this match?

The most popular bet among analysts for the Lazio vs Fiorentina match, for the 'odds' market, was equally split at 50% of tips for Lazio to win and a draw on Bet365.

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Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction – Serie A

January 6, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Lazio vs Fiorentina

Here you will find the best prediction for Lazio vs Fiorentina in Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Lazio and Fiorentina.

Lazio

January 7, 2026 – 19::45
Serie A TIM
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 19

Fiorentina

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lazio vs Fiorentina

The best prediction for Lazio vs Fiorentina in Serie A is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. This match is expected to be relatively balanced, as both teams have demonstrated solid defensive units, allowing their opponents few scoring opportunities. Notably, the “Under 2.5 Goals” market has been successful in 78% of Lazio’s home games.

Best prediction for Lazio vs Fiorentina

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

Match prediction for Lazio vs Fiorentina

The teams Lazio and Fiorentina will play at the Stadio Olimpico in a matchup of the 19th round of Serie A TIM. At this stadium, the historical head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 4 encounters. However, the last time they faced each other at this venue was on January 26, 2025, in a Serie A TIM match that ended with Fiorentina winning (2-1). The goals were scored by Adam Marušić (90′) for Lazio and Lucas Beltrán (17′) and Yacine Adli (11′) for Fiorentina. Home advantage could play an important role in this match, as Fiorentina has shown significant differences in their results at home versus away.

Analysis of Lazio

The home team is currently in 9th place, with 24 points accumulated after 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. In their second-to-last match, they drew away against Udinese (1-1). In their last match, they suffered a home defeat to Napoli (2-0). This is a team that maintains its performance when playing away, as in their last 30 games, they have 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses on the road; compared to 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses at home. In their last 9 home matches in the league, Lazio has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, earning 15 points from 27 possible. At home, they tend to score few goals, as 7 of their last 9 league matches ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in the league, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never managed to turn the score around. In their last 20 home games across all competitions, they have scored 13 of their 30 goals in the final minutes (76’–90’).

Lazio comes into this encounter after losing by 0-2 against Napoli, marking their third consecutive match without a win in Serie A. The home team typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, favoring a quicker style of play with constant transitions. The three players likely to cause trouble in the opponent’s area are Pedro, Gustav Isaksen, and Mattia Zaccagni. When attacking, they tend to leverage the left side, utilizing full-back Luca Pellegrini’s offensive projection to create imbalances. Missing from this match will be Adam Marusic and Tijjani Noslin, who are suspended, as well as Boulaye Dia, Patric, Matías Vecino, and Samuel Gigot, all of whom are injured.

Confirmed lineup: Ivan Provedel, Manuel Lazzari, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini, Mario Gila, Danilo Cataldi, Reda Belahyane, Toma Bašić, Gustav Isaksen, Matteo Cancellieri, Mattia Zaccagni.
Coach: M. Sarri.

Analysis of Fiorentina

After 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, the away team is in 18th place with 12 points. In their last match, they won against Cremonese at home (1-0), following a previous loss away to Parma (0-1). Fiorentina tends to be stronger when playing at home, as in their last 30 matches, they have 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses on the road; compared to 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses at home. In the league, Fiorentina has earned 4 points from 27 possible, with 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 9 away matches.

For this competition, they have not won any of their last 9 away games. Frequently, the most common result at halftime in their away matches has been 0-0, occurring in 6 of their 9 games. Their defensive strength has not been a highlight, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 18 games this season, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never managed to turn the score around.

Fiorentina arrives at this match following a victory, 1-0, against Cremonese, marking their second win in the last three matches in Serie A, with the only goal scored by Moise Kean. The team, managed by Paolo Vanoli, usually plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system where the three players leading the attack are Albert Guðmundsson, Fabiano Parisi, and Moise Kean. One of Fiorentina’s strengths is their quick transitions, and their players have many skills in this area. Missing from this match will be Tariq Lamptey and Jacopo Fazzini, both injured.

Confirmed lineup: David de Gea, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Fabiano Parisi, Luca Ranieri, Dodô, Nicolò Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Moise Kean, Albert Gudmundsson.
Coach: R. Palladino.

Best prediction for Lazio vs Fiorentina

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)