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Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for Freiburg vs Hamburg

Here you’ll find the best prediction for Freiburg vs Hamburg in the Bundesliga, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from the latest matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Freiburg and Hamburg.

Freiburg logo
Freiburg

  • January 10, 2026 – 14::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 16
Hamburg logo
Hamburg


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Freiburg vs Hamburg

The best prediction for Freiburg vs Hamburg in the Bundesliga is a Freiburg win. The home team not only has stronger individual players but also enjoys the advantage of playing at home, where they will have the enthusiastic support of their fans. It’s worth noting that Freiburg enters this match motivated after two victories in their last three home games, while Hamburg has lost five of their seven away matches. Therefore, it is expected that the home side will demonstrate their superiority and ultimately claim the three points.

Best prediction for Freiburg vs Hamburg

Freiburg to win

Match prediction for Freiburg vs Hamburg

The teams Freiburg and Hamburg will meet at the Europa-Park Stadium for a match in the 16th round of the Bundesliga. The recent head-to-head record favors the home team, who has won the last three encounters. The most recent clash between these two teams, on October 30, 2024, ended with a 2-1 victory for SC Freiburg. In this match, the home advantage could play a crucial role, as Hamburg has shown significant differences in performance when playing at home compared to away matches.

Freiburg Analysis

The home team is currently in 9th place, having accumulated 20 points from 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew 1-1 against Borussia Dortmund at home. In their last match, they secured a 4-3 victory against VfL Wolfsburg away. This team maintains a solid performance when playing away, recording 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 matches; compared to 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses at home. Over their last 7 home games in the league, Freiburg has achieved 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, earning 12 points out of a possible 21.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 6 home matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 games, but their attack has been consistently scoring, finding the back of the net in 7 of their last 10 matches in the competition. In their home games, there is a tendency for goals, as 19 of their last 22 matches ended with more than 1.5 goals. In 15 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 5 times and managed to turn the game around only once. They did have a notable period in their last 12 home matches across all competitions: they conceded 5 of their 10 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Freiburg comes into this encounter after a 4-3 victory against Wolfsburg, marking their second consecutive match without defeat in the Bundesliga: the goals were scored by Derry Scherhant, Philipp Treu, Vincenzo Grifo, and Jenson Seelt (own goal). The home side typically plays a tactical system of 4-3-3, adopting an offensive approach that emphasizes wing play. In this setup, Lucas Höler, Johan Manzambi, and Philipp Treu take center stage in the offensive area. The key player responsible for driving the team’s efforts forward is midfielder Maximilian Eggestein. Missing from this game will be Philipp Lienhart, Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, and Eren Dinkçi, all due to physical issues.

Hamburg Analysis

After 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, the visiting team is in 13th position, having garnered 16 points. In their last match, they drew 1-1 with Eintracht Frankfurt at home, after previously losing away against TSG Hoffenheim, 4-1. This team is affected by the home factor, being stronger in front of their supporters, as evidenced by their last 30 games, which yielded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 19 goals and conceding 24. At home, they achieved 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, netting 29 goals while allowing 17. In their last 7 away league games, Hamburg records 2 draws and 5 losses, accumulating just 2 points from a possible 21.

In this competition, they have lost their last 4 away matches and have not won any of the last 7 matches played on the road. In their away league matches, the most common halftime result was 0-0 (3 times in 7 games). Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, conceding goals in 9 of their last 10 games, while their attack has been consistently scoring, netting goals in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. Over 15 matches in this competition, they have managed to turn the game around only once in the 9 games where they conceded the first goal. They showed a notable trend in their last 18 away matches across all competitions: scoring 9 of their 25 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Hamburg enters this match after a 1-1 draw against Frankfurt, marking their second consecutive game without a win in the Bundesliga: the only goal for the team was scored by Albert Sambi Lokonga. Manager Merlin Polzin is expected to utilize a tactical system of 4-3-3, a formation that promises to bring dynamism and creativity to the game. The advanced players will include Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer, Fábio Vieira, and Fabio Baldé, three players who have shown great ability in creating chances and destabilizing opposing defenses. In midfield, Nicolás Capaldo will be a key figure, with his vision and ball distribution being crucial for the team’s success. Missing from this match will be Warmed Omari and Yussuf Poulsen, both sidelined due to injuries.

Best prediction for Freiburg vs Hamburg

Freiburg to win

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