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Luton vs Middlesbrough Prediction – Championship
Check out the best predictions for Luton vs Middlesbrough
Here you will find the best prediction for Luton vs Middlesbrough in the Championship, including match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, which includes recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Luton vs Middlesbrough.
 Luton Town |
|  Middlesbrough |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Luton vs Middlesbrough
The best prediction for Luton vs Middlesbrough in the Championship is that both teams will score. Although favouritism leans towards the visiting side, Luton Town can still deliver a strong performance in front of their home crowd. A lively match is expected, where both teams are likely to find the back of the net.
Match preview: Luton vs Middlesbrough
Luton and Middlesbrough face off at Kenilworth Road Stadium in a match for the 38th round of the Championship. In their last encounter in this competition on 9 November 2024, Middlesbrough triumphed at home with a score of 5-1. Historically, this stadium has favoured the home team, with Luton claiming 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 games here. The last meeting at this ground saw Luton Town emerge victorious, winning 2-1 on 24 April 2023. Goals from Tom Lockyer (49′) and Carlton Morris (67′) secured the win for Luton, with Cameron Archer (40′) netting for Middlesbrough. Despite being 23rd in the league, this match pits Luton’s 18th place home form against Middlesbrough’s 10th place away performance.
Team analysis: Luton
Currently seated in 23rd position with 34 points from 9 wins, 7 draws, and 21 losses, Luton secured a recent 1-2 victory against Cardiff City. Prior to that, they suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Burnley. Luton have been significantly more effective at home, racking up 26 points compared to just 8 on the road. Within their last 10 home matches in the Championship, they have harvested 15 points through 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. Notably, their most frequent halftime scoreline at home has been 0-0 (9 occurrences in 18 matches). Unfortunately, defensive solidity has been a weakness, as they conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games in the competition. In the last 18 home matches, they conceded 7 out of 19 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.
Luton Town enters this match following their recent 1-2 triumph over Cardiff City, with goals scored by Jordan Clark and Thelo Aasgaard. Typically, they adopt a 3-5-2 formation, focusing on quick transitions, especially via the wings. The two primary forwards aiming to penetrate Middlesbrough’s defence are Elijah Adebayo and Carlton Morris. Notable absentees include Shandon Baptiste, Tahith Chong, and Teden Mengi, all sidelined due to injury.
Team analysis: Middlesbrough
The visiting side is currently in 8th place with 53 points, having achieved 15 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses. They most recently won 2-1 at home against Queens Park Rangers, bouncing back from a 1-0 defeat away to Swansea City. Middlesbrough’s form has been bolstered by their home advantage, securing 32 points at their ground compared to 21 away. With a record of 27 goals scored and 20 conceded when playing at home, they have struggled slightly in defence, allowing 30 goals while netting 28 away. In the Championship, they managed to grab only 8 points from the last 30 available on their travels, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. They’ve conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 outings, indicating a lack of defensive resilience, although they have managed to score in 8 of those encounters.
Middlesbrough comes into this match with motivation after their 2-1 win against QPR, where Tommy Conway and Anfernee Dijksteel provided the goals. Managed by Michael Carrick, they often utilise a tactical 4-3-3 system, favouring slower, well-coordinated transitions through the middle. The attacking trio aiming to troubles Luton’s defence consists of Delano Burgzorg, Finn Azaz, and Kelechi Iheanacho. Missing from the squad are Riley McGree, Jonny Howson, Seny Dieng, Alex Bangura, Sol Brynn, and Darragh Lenihan, all unavailable due to various injuries.
The best prediction for Luton vs Middlesbrough
Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)
Will both teams score? Yes
