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Genoa vs Lecce Prediction – Serie A
Check out the best predictions for Genoa vs Lecce
Here you’ll find the best prediction for Genoa vs Lecce for Serie A, along with match analysis and betting insights.
Read below for our comprehensive analysis of both teams, which encompasses their recent performances and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Genoa vs Lecce.
 Genoa |
|  Lecce |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Genoa vs Lecce
The best prediction for the match Genoa vs Lecce in Serie A is a victory for Genoa. With the support of their home crowd, Genoa is set to face a Lecce side that has struggled recently, suffering three consecutive defeats. This momentum should propel the home team to assert their dominance and secure the three points.
The best prediction for Genoa vs Lecce
Genoa to win
Match preview: Genoa vs Lecce
Genoa and Lecce will square off at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in a duel for the 29th round of Serie A TIM. Their last encounter ended in a stalemate (0‑0) on 5 January 2025. Over the last three years, the record in direct clashes between these sides stood at one draw and one victory each. It’s worth noting the distinct home and away forms, as Genoa has demonstrated fluctuating results depending on the venue.
Team analysis: Genoa
Currently positioned 12th with 32 points, the home side has achieved 7 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses. They recently drew against Empoli (1‑1) at home and followed up with another 1‑1 draw away at Cagliari. Interestingly, Genoa has recorded better results as visitors over the last 30 matches, notching up 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses away from home, with 13 goals scored and 20 conceded. Their home statistics show 3 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, netting 16 goals against 18 conceded. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Genoa has earned 14 points from a potential 30, and the most frequent result at half-time has been a 0‑0 draw in 7 of their 14 games played at home. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of their last 10 league matches. However, they tend to have low-scoring games, with less than 3 goals in 9 of their last 14 home matches. Notably, in 28 fixtures this season, they have never turned around the score after conceding the first goal in 17 matches. In home fixtures, they have scored 8 of their 15 goals late in the match (76’–90′).
Genoa enters this fixture after a recent draw against Cagliari, with Maxwel Cornet finding the net for the only goal. Tactical plans by coach Patrick Vieira typically involve a 4-3-3 formation, with attacking responsibilities divided among Jeff Ekhator, Andrea Pinamonti, and Ruslan Malinoxkyi. Fábio Miretti serves as the central playmaker, orchestrating the teams’ offensive plays. However, the squad will miss several players due to injuries, including Mario Balotelli, Morten Thorsby, Junior Messiah, Honest Ahanor, Caleb Ekuban, Mattia Bani, and Maxwel Cornet.
Team analysis: Lecce
Lecce currently sits 16th with a total of 25 points from 6 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses. Their last outing ended in a 2-3 defeat to AC Milan, while they also lost 1-0 to Fiorentina in their previous encounter. Their away form has been relatively stable, recording 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses over the past 30 matches, compared to 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses at home. In the last 10 league games, Lecce managed 3 wins, 1 draw, and experienced 6 losses, achieving a total of 10 points from 30 possible. Their most common half-time result has been a 0-0 draw in 7 out of 14 away matches. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding goals in 7 of the last 10 league matches. There is a trend of low-scoring matches in their away games, with 9 out of the last 14 matches featuring fewer than 3 goals. In this season’s competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only managed to come back to earn points on one occasion.
Lecce enters the match following a 2-3 loss to AC Milan: both goals were scored by Nikola Krstović. The visitors are expected to play in a 4-3-3 formation, likely focusing on a balanced style of football while leveraging the speed of their attackers to exploit the flanks. The offensive trident will consist of Nikola Krstović, Santiago Pierotti, and Tete Morente, while Antonino Gallo is crucial for width on the left side. All players are available for this encounter.
Best predictions for this match
Genoa to win
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