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Atlético vs Barcelona Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Atletico vs Barcelona

Here you will find the best prediction for Atletico vs Barcelona in La Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches, to provide the finest prediction for this encounter between Atletico vs Barcelona.

Athletic soon
Athletic

  • 16 March 2025 – 20::00
  • LA Liga

  • 2024/2025
  • Normal Time – Round 28
Barcelona soon
Barcelona


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atletico vs Barcelona

The best prediction for the match between Atletico vs Barcelona in La Liga is that both teams will score. While Barcelona is expected to dominate the match, Atletico Madrid has been producing compelling football, creating several dangerous situations. It is important to note that the “both teams to score” market has been a winner in the last two clashes between these teams. Therefore, an open match is anticipated, with numerous goal opportunities likely to arise on both ends.

Match preview: Atletico vs Barcelona

Atletico and Barcelona face off at Riyadh Air Metropolitano for the 28th round of La Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on 21‑12‑2024, Atletico Madrid emerged victorious with a 2‑1 scoreline. The record of head-to-head matches at this ground is balanced, featuring 2 wins each for both sides in the last 4 matches. However, in their most recent matchup at this venue in La Liga on 17‑03-2024, FC Barcelona won 3-0, with goals from Fermín López (65’), João Félix (38’), and Robert Lewandowski (47’). The home advantage could be crucial in this match, as Barcelona has shown varying performances when playing at home compared to away.

Team analysis: Atletico

Atletico currently sit in 3rd place with 56 points, following 16 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a home win against Athletic de Bilbao (1‑0), but lost their last match against Getafe (2‑1). This team is not heavily dependent on home advantage, displaying similar results at home and away. Over their last 30 matches, they recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 away losses, scoring 38 goals and conceding 14. At home, they boast 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 30 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match in the UEFA Champions League, they were defeated by Real Madrid (2‑4) in a penalty shootout.

They have not lost at home in their last 14 matches in this competition. When playing at home in the league, the most common score at half-time has been 0‑0, which occurred in 6 of their 14 games. Atletico’s attack has been effective, scoring in 9 of their last 10 league matches. At home, they tend to produce low-scoring matches, with 9 of their last 14 games concluding with under 2.5 goals. Of the 27 league matches played, they conceded the first goal 10 times and only managed to overturn the score on 3 occasions. Notably, in their last 14 home matches, they scored 12 of their 24 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Atletico Madrid’s morale may be impacted following a penalty shootout defeat against Real Madrid in the Champions League. In their latest La Liga fixture, they lost 2-1. The home team generally adopts a 4-4-2 formation, with Antonie Griezmann and Julián Alvarez in advanced positions. Midfielder Rodrigo de Paul orchestrates the team’s attacking moves. Missing this match are Ángel Correa due to suspension and Koke with injury concerns.

Team analysis: Barcelona

The visiting team currently leads the table with 57 points, boasting 18 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. In the match prior, they triumphed over Las Palmas (0‑2) and most recently defeated Real Sociedad (4‑0) at home. Interestingly, Barcelona has achieved better results away than at home, recording 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 30 matches as visitors, with 46 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home, they have accumulated 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 44 goals scored and 17 conceded. They arrived at this match after a home victory against Benfica (3‑1). In La Liga, Barcelona collected 18 points from 30 possible, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 games played away. The team consistently finds the back of the net, managing to score in 9 of their last 10 league matches. Away games tend to see high-scoring affairs, as 11 out of 14 have concluded with more than 2.5 goals. Barcelona often takes the lead first, having scored in 20 of their last 26 league matches; of those 20, they maintained their advantage at half-time in 13 and secured the win in 16. In 26 La Liga matches, they conceded the first goal 6 times but managed to turn the match around in 2 instances.

Barcelona approach this match following a convincing 3-1 home win against Benfica in the Champions League. Their last outing in La Liga resulted in a commanding 4-0 win over Real Sociedad. The visiting side typically deploys a 4-3-3 formation, favouring quick transitions, particularly through the flanks. Front players include Lamine Yamal, Raphinha, and Robert Lewandowski. Attacking play often flows down the right flank, utilising the width and depth provided by Jules Koundé. Missing from the squad due to injury are Andreas Christensen, Marc Bernal, and Marc-André ter Stegen.

The best prediction for Atletico vs Barcelona

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double, or treble bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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